Re: high school redistricting
Posted by:
Floris Parent
()
Date: February 06, 2008 05:07PM
LakeFairfax Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> The numbers that Floris parent gave out on average
> housing values are quite misleading.
>
> 20191 and 20190 have a mixed bag of condos,
> townhomes and single family homes. The single
> family homes in the 20190 zip are lower than
> 20190, but the single family homes in the Fox Mill
> and Hunters Woods area are comparable.
>
> This is not disaggregated in the data for the zip
> codes 20190 and 20191, and hence, is misleading.
>
> I will also tell you from first hand experience
> that numerous people with younger kids (below age
> 5) and older couples are moving into the South
> Reston neighborhoods. The homes are in general,
> smaller, and many people are their children get
> older prefer to get bigger homes which are in
> short supply in South Reston.
>
>
>
> Floris Parent Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Forum Reader Wrote:
> >
> --------------------------------------------------
>
> > -----
> > > Floris Parent Wrote:
> > > > ... There is something terribly skewed in
> the
> > > numbers. ...
> > > >
> > > I love numbers, but could you tell me in
> words
> > > what you are referring to in this particular
> > > comment? That the average house costs more in
> > one
> > > zip code than another?
> >
> >
> >
> > To clarify my point Forum Reader regarding
> skewed
> > numbers, I am referring to the lack of
> projected
> > students based on the fact that almost 2000 new
> > families have moved into Reston over the past 2
> > years.I hope this helps you.
> >
> > My question is this: with almost 2000 new
> > households in the 2 Reston zip codes changing
> > hands in just the last 2 years, "WHY are the
> > projections for future enrollments in South
> Lakes
> > going down, raher than up. Please read my post
> > again. The avaerage prices of the zip codes are
> > what they are,and are just a result of the MRIS
> > seach that was used.
Lake Fairfax,
I am not attempting to mislead with fifures.
The numbers regarding prices are the aggregate of all resales in the selected zip codes. I agree that there are a mix of TH, Condo and SF home. This is true for the 20171 zip code as well, which also includes TH's and condo's.
The point is not to compare relatives values of homes, but to understand where all of the school aged children in Reston are going to school. There is clearly a healthy turn over of homes, and I would think that it is reasonable that a Town home as well as a Single family home is going to have high school aged children.
It is understood that average prices of homes are just that, and all averages will include a mix of bigger/Smaller, newe/older homes.
Please also keep in mind, that there are other Zip codes in Reston that should also be sending students into the South Lakes Pyramid that are not included in these stats.
In Reston, during the last 2 years, there have been 289 SF detached homes sold, 719 Town Homes sold and 935 Condos sold. I understand that the condo's may have just a few children, but the SF and TH's most definately will have school aged children.
During the same time period Oak Hill saw 590 detached homes sold, 377 Town homes sold, and 167 Condo's sold.
Here is a breakdown of all homes sold in the 3 zip code area's
Price Comparisons 20191 Condos 2007
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (151)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $119,000 $138,010 $109,000
Max $399,900 $449,900 $399,000
Avg $259,779 $270,138 $253,545
Price Comparisons 20191 Condos 2006
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (207)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $125,000 $125,000 $125,000
Max $1,250,000 $1,250,000 $1,295,970
Avg $297,226 $303,344 $293,581
20191 Total Condo Sales from 2006-2007= 358 (33% of all homes sold in 20191)
Price Comparisons 20191 SF 2007
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (127)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $264,900 $319,900 $252,000
Max $2,100,000 $2,350,000 $1,900,000
Avg $629,188 $652,876 $612,027
Price Comparisons 20191 SF 2006
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (129)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $399,900 $399,900 $377,000
Max $1,375,000 $1,375,000 $1,395,000
Avg $637,391 $656,784 $622,047
20191 total SF Sales from 2006-2007=256 (23% of all homes sold in 20191)
Price Comparisons 20191 TH 2007
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (246)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $165,375 $179,900 $165,375
Max $1,089,999 $1,094,272 $1,050,000
Avg $416,436 $431,824 $407,571
Price Comparisons 20191 TH 2006
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (237)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $280,000 $300,000 $250,000
Max $995,000 $995,000 $995,000
Avg $423,515 $436,111 $417,353
20191 Total TH sales 2006-2007=473 (44% of all homes sold in 20191)
Price Comparisons 20190 SF 2007
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (17)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $489,000 $525,000 $470,000
Max $1,050,000 $1,090,000 $1,050,000
Avg $705,523 $738,282 $686,029
Price Comparisons 20190 SF 2006
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (16)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $275,000 $275,000 $250,000
Max $1,099,999 $1,199,990 $1,000,000
Avg $680,894 $709,424 $654,144
20190 total SF sales 2006-2007=33 (4% of all homes sold in 20190)
Price Comparisons 20190 TH 2007
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (119)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $300,000 $300,000 $300,000
Max $985,000 $985,000 $985,000
Avg $483,692 $494,872 $475,453
Price Comparisons 20190 TH 2006
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (127)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $299,900 $315,000 $291,000
Max $929,999 $929,999 $855,000
Avg $493,053 $506,871 $482,463
20190 Total TH Sales 2007-2007=246 (29% of all homes sold in 20190)
Price Comparisons 20190 CO 2007
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (249)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $168,500 $170,000 $173,555
Max $3,135,232 $3,135,232 $3,135,232
Avg $436,731 $448,345 $427,739
Price Comparisons 20190 CO 2006
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (328)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $169,900 $199,000 $170,000
Max $1,590,000 $1,595,000 $1,460,000
Avg $414,782 $426,637 $407,984
20190 Total CO sales 2006-2007=577 (67% of all homes sold in 20190)
Price Comparisons 20171 SF 2007
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (282)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $339,000 $350,455 $265,000
Max $1,800,000 $1,875,000 $1,800,000
Avg $679,785 $701,598 $659,122
Price Comparisons 20171 SF 2006
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (308)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $311,129 $311,129 $311,129
Max $2,500,000 $2,500,000 $2,358,933
Avg $712,844 $732,476 $695,660
20171 Total SF Sales 2006-2007= 590 (52% of all homes sold in 20171)
Price Comparisons 20171 TH 2007
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (159)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $309,900 $317,000 $310,000
Max $724,900 $724,900 $705,000
Avg $433,541 $443,611 $423,034
Price Comparisons 20171 TH 2006
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (218)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $319,900 $319,900 $320,000
Max $774,811 $774,811 $774,811
Avg $473,090 $484,710 $464,978
20171 Total TH sales 2006-2007=377 (33% of all homes sold in 20171)
Price Comparisons 20171 CO 2007
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (57)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $243,900 $243,900 $243,900
Max $485,000 $485,000 $467,297
Avg $344,181 $348,009 $341,328
Price Comparisons 20171 CO 2006
List, Original, Close Price
Criteria:
Status: SOLD (110)
ListPrice OrigPrice ClosePrice
Min $185,900 $185,900 $185,900
Max $535,000 $535,000 $535,000
Avg $332,198 $336,453 $328,897
20171 Total CO Sales 2006-2007=167 (15% of all homes sold in 20171)