Fred Wrote:
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> > Here you go...
> >
> >
>
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_pol
>
> > ls/
>
> LOL. You are pointing to a single PPP poll that
> came out today. The Gallup tracking poll from the
> day before has Romney up by 16. When the results
> come in tomorrow night, you might be able to pound
> your chest for once after a long list of wrong
> predictions. Even then, there is not necessarily
> a correlation between Romney's statement and your
> prediction. There have been too many intervening
> events to make a direct cause and effect
> correlation. For instance, Perry dropping out and
> endorsing Gingrich, Palin's endorsement, etc.
>
> Also, your PPP poll was taken mostly before the
> Gingrich news broke.
>
> Finally, in the 2008 Dem Primary in PA, PPP
> predictied an Obama victory, Clinton won by nearly
> 10%.
There's more than one poll showing Gingrich pulling ahead in the final days before Saturday's vote.
All Gingrich has to demonstrate to voters is that Romney is not up to winning the general election. Republicans really don't want Romney as the nominee, but feel he is the only one who can win against Obama. If Gingrich demonstrates Romney can't, you are going to see more Republican support behind Gingrich.
As for the intervening events, they are all tied to the opening Romney provided with the "I like to fire people" comment. All of a sudden, the press is focusing attention on the Bain material Gingrich had been putting out for weeks. The endorsements also have come to Gingrich as it appears Romney is becoming more vulnerable.
In the end, Romney may still end up with the nomination. But I am happy that GOP candidates like Gingrich and Santorum are making him unelectable on the GOP dime.
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http://bible.cc/1_corinthians/13-11.htm
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 01/20/2012 09:26AM by WashingTone-Locian.