Could Earl be the big one? Are you preparing for it?

It might be the first hurricane that we've been hit with since I don't know when. Usually they're tropical storms by the time they reach us, but Earl might hit Cat. 5 status, and it's a massive monster already.

==================================================================================================
"And if any women or children get their legs torn off, or faces caved in, well, it's tough shit for them." -2LT. Bert Stiles, 505th, 339th (On Berlin Bombardier Mission, 1944).

Mother Nature Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Could Earl be the big one? Are you preparing for
> it?



Is it going to reach inner Virginia? I think it might touch Norfolk, that's it.

The last hurricane that hit here about 8 years ago had power out for weeks in areas.

Qwest Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> The last hurricane that hit here about 8 years ago
> had power out for weeks in areas.
That was Isabel. We were out of power for a week in Stafford.

That sucks. I was in Florida for the record breaking TS Faye, and that caused a lot of havoc. Fortunately, our power was only out for 24 hours, and a back-up generator kept the food refrigerated.

One year when we were down there for a month, we must've had five storms that made close-calls all within weeks of eachother. We were beyond lucky. The time we weren't there though, there was a direct hit. All of the sliding glass doors and some of the windows were blown out, and the pool, even though across the street from the beach, was completely filled in with sand. Since then, they've upgraded the sliding glass doors to higher category resistance. The doors are heavy as hell now.

==================================================================================================
"And if any women or children get their legs torn off, or faces caved in, well, it's tough shit for them." -2LT. Bert Stiles, 505th, 339th (On Berlin Bombardier Mission, 1944).

ThePackLeader Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> That sucks. I was in Florida for the record
> breaking TS Faye, and that caused a lot of havoc.
> Fortunately, our power was only out for 24 hours,
> and a back-up generator kept the food
> refrigerated.
>
> One year when we were down there for a month, we
> must've had five storms that made close-calls all
> within weeks of eachother. We were beyond lucky.
> The time we weren't there though, there was a
> direct hit. All of the sliding glass doors and
> some of the windows were blown out, and the pool,
> even though across the street from the beach, was
> completely filled in with sand. Since then,
> they've upgraded the sliding glass doors to higher
> category resistance. The doors are heavy as hell
> now.


Are you one of those dummies that lived in a trailer park in Florida? Like the people who live in trailer parks in "Tornado Alley" in the midwest?

Milk,bread, toilet paper!-Wait that's what I do in a snowstorm.

Call 911 and report that my house is shaking!-Oh darn it, thats what I do when there's an earthquake.

What the hell should I do for a hurricane?

You need to join CERT on Fairfax and that will help you be prepared for any type of disaster in this area. http://fairfaxcountycert.blogspot.com They have classes, you email pio@fairfaxcountycert.org The old lead instructor teaches this class around the world and there is member of Urban Search team that goes to world disaster sites that teaches this free course. Dont delay, signup today.

I'm buying up all the milk and TP before you can! I'm gonna lock myself in my house until after the storm! Somebody PM me when it's over so I know when to come out!

I need to restock on batteries so I'll probably do that to be on the safe side. I'll make sure all the electronics and cell phones are charged up. During the snow storm I was without power for three days and my cell phone was almost dead because I forgot to charge it before the storm.

Always toyed with the idea about buying a cheap $300 generator. Sometimes the power here goes out for hours for no reason. Sucks.

Growing up in Tidewater, Virginia and being an avid backpacker and now whitewater kayaker and rock climber, I was ingrained with "Be Prepared". It's better to have and not need than to not have and need; especially in EMERGENCIES. You don't have to live in fear and go by a bunch of shit you don't need or cant affort or will never use, but it's recommended that you have at least 72 hours of food and water in your abode for emergencies. This would be things that you normally eat and can rotate in your daily diet to keep fresh and used before expiration.

In Fairfax we are out of reach of the storm's most powerful effects: wind, tidal surge and coastal flooding, but we can certainly be inconvenienced by tornados, wind and torrential rain, which as you know knocks over trees, washes out our little bridges around here and takes power out for only knows how long. Thank god we aren't served by PEPCO here!

Have a little extra food and water, have lots of fun and rock on!

Meanwhile, if you hear about some lunatic at Virginia Beach surfing the hurricane in a rodeo kayak this weekend, that will be me.

Oh shit. Not again. I'm going to Costco to stock up on beer and wine.
Wake me when it's over.

Last one was Isabell - my power was out for 6 days. :-(

I lived in VA Beach for 5 years. For locals hurricanes were almost always party time. But then again, just about any time in VA Beach is party time. I miss the beach watching bikini's.

itchy Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
>
> Have a little extra food and water, have lots of
> fun and rock on!
>
> Meanwhile, if you hear about some lunatic at
> Virginia Beach surfing the hurricane in a rodeo
> kayak this weekend, that will be me.

eesh Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Mother Nature Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Could Earl be the big one? Are you preparing
> for
> > it?
>
>
>
> Is it going to reach inner Virginia? I think it
> might touch Norfolk, that's it.


Shut up eesh

Despite losing our beachhouse in the Outer Banks to Isabel,and the fact that people lost a lot, our neighborhood kind of
bonded just out of necessity. We have a generator now, but back then
we made do for about 4 days with no phone or electricity. We all brought
our grills onto the sidewalk and barqued all ther meat in our freezers
and had a party. And in the morning everyone went walking the neighborhood looking
for a house with coffee.

BTW the best site to go to for info is NOAA.gov

Quote

Always toyed with the idea about buying a cheap $300 generator. Sometimes the power here goes out for hours for no reason. Sucks.

dude that's a no-brainer. we've had one for a couple years now and it's saved the food 3 times already. more than paid for itself.

Lurker Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
>I lived in VA Beach for 5 years. For locals hurricanes were almost always party >time. But then again, just about any time in VA Beach is party time. I miss the >beach watching bikini's.


Absolutely Lurker! Storm parties are the best. Our motto down there was "If you can find a reason not to party, you're not in Virginia Beach." I miss the Bikinis too, but I try to get down there a lot.

Get a generator.

Best investment we've made in a long time.

But cert is free and worth every penny.

The most we will get is some rain bands from the storm. It's not going to make landfall. Now ocean city and the deleware coast will be pounded with waves and rain. The worst of all hurricanes when it comes to wind is the north eastern edge. Dont pannic nothing will happen

It's still two days away and a lot can happen in two days with a hurricane.

Yea...it could dissipate, get worse or change course at any time. Trying to predict what will or won't happen in the meantime is as pointless as predicting when Jesus is coming.

Sit back and enjoy the ride!

Hurricane Earl is a powerful and fast moving storm that has the potential of making landfall at the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay early Friday morning. It is currently forecasted to be a Category 3 hurricane when it reaches our latitude.


Although the current models indicate a likelihood that Hurricane Earl will move offshore as it moves north, it is worth noting that there is a very real possibility that the pressure ridge that is predicted to influence the storm track may stall, allowing the storm to track significantly further west than the current models are showing. In the words of the Hurricane Center as of 11:30am Tuesday.


“Interests from the Carolina's northward to New England should monitor the progress of Earl. There is still considerable uncertainty as to how close the hurricane will come to the U.S. East Coast.â€

Awesome! Bring it on!

I predict the only impact this storm will have on my life is the inconvenience involved in OTHER people panicking over nothing.

Here's the prediction of the path of the hurricane. There's an equal chance it'll be at the extreme east end of that circle as the extreme west, and even if it is, the storm isn't big enough to be over us at that point.



I'm NOT worried.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 08/31/2010 05:14PM by Kardinal.

Looks like they just changed the track and are predicting a close hit in the Outer banks.
Attachments:

This is no laughing matter. Head to Home Depot and get stuff that you need for the windows and roof. I am not sure what that is, in CERT we just cover after the storm. So take CERT its free. www.fairfaxcert.com

The roof? What hell are you suppose to do with a roof?

lol....stay the hell out of its way when its blown off.

This is a monster

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Attachments:

Its not coming near fairfax. Calm down you fags.

This is the big one.

Hug your loved ones.

Some of us will simply be concussed and die, but most of us will unceremoniously drown.

Unending prayer is in order.

Hug your loved ones, for you will never see them again.

Send your wives and daughters over to my house at once! I will provide some comfort before the apocalyse

ROOT Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Send your wives and daughters over to my house at
> once! I will provide some comfort before the
> apocalyse


can I watch via webcam

Last time I saw a storm like this I just finished catching a ton of fish off the Grand Banks

i bet there are some good deals in ocean city this weekend
perfect time to go

I am going to buy a generator to power my vibrator. last time the power went out, I almost broke my wrist

North Carolina officials late Tuesday announced the first evacuation would be Ocracoke Island beginning at 5 a.m. Wednesday. Tourists would be ordered to leave the barrier island accessible only by ferries, but those who live there year-round have the option to stay.

eesh Wrote:
> Is it going to reach inner Virginia? I think it
> might touch Norfolk, that's it.>



It's going to reach my inner Virginia.

Still...not going to hit us.



As TK said yesterday on his show, NOTHING is as much of a ratings boost for local news as BAD WEATHER. And like everything else in local news, they overhype it to the MAX.

NOAA doesn't help.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 09/01/2010 02:32PM by Kardinal.

go fish Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> eesh Wrote:
> > Is it going to reach inner Virginia? I think it
> > might touch Norfolk, that's it.>
>
>
>
> It's going to reach my inner Virginia.


Lol...is that like a inner Commonwealth Self or a inner Vaginal birth defect

Kardinal Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Still...not going to hit us.
>
> http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at201
> 007.gif
>
> As TK said yesterday on his show, NOTHING is as
> much of a ratings boost for local news as BAD
> WEATHER. And like everything else in local news,
> they overhype it to the MAX.
>
> NOAA doesn't help.


Well if the storm dosen't come to them, then they should go out to it and get us coverage. I would love to see the FOX news team hurling their guts up while Earl tosses their asses about the Atlantic.

Contrary to my last post I put on here last night I do not see this storm turning NE as fast as the models are showing. It could possibly turn slightly and go inland like isable did a few years ago.

Weatherman Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Contrary to my last post I put on here last night
> I do not see this storm turning NE as fast as the
> models are showing. It could possibly turn
> slightly and go inland like isable did a few years
> ago.

I'll bet you a beer (or equivalent) it doesn't touch us.

Kardinal Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Weatherman Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Contrary to my last post I put on here last
> night
> > I do not see this storm turning NE as fast as
> the
> > models are showing. It could possibly turn
> > slightly and go inland like isable did a few
> years
> > ago.
>
> I'll bet you a beer (or equivalent) it doesn't
> touch us.

So you think we will get no rain or wind what so ever? If it hugs the atlantic coast hurricane force winds extend 70 miles and tropical force winds extend 200 miles. You sure you want to make that bet?

Weatherman Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Kardinal Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Weatherman Wrote:
> >
> --------------------------------------------------
>
> > -----
> > > Contrary to my last post I put on here last
> > night
> > > I do not see this storm turning NE as fast as
> > the
> > > models are showing. It could possibly turn
> > > slightly and go inland like isable did a few
> > years
> > > ago.
> >
> > I'll bet you a beer (or equivalent) it doesn't
> > touch us.
>
> So you think we will get no rain or wind what so
> ever? If it hugs the atlantic coast hurricane
> force winds extend 70 miles and tropical force
> winds extend 200 miles. You sure you want to make
> that bet?


No, not no rain whatsoever.

No particularly unusual weather.

Unfortunately, this kind of bet is hard to make because you need some kind of objective standard.

I stand by my first post; the only impact to my life will be the panic of other people.

Was it last year or 2008 that we had a heavy rainfall of something like 8-10" over a 12 hour period as the result of a tropical storm? I just remember Woodglen Lake was WAY above normal levels by several feet and the emergency spillway was draining off the excess.

That could get interesting if Earl drops a lot of rain on Friday/Saturday since the dam and spillway are currently being renovated much like what was done at Royal Lake, but the work is far from complete with heavy equipment scattered across the work site.

Back up to a Cat. 4 time for a hurricane party

http://www.stormpulse.com/atlantic?desc=NHC&idx=54&trk=1&sid=201007&lat=31.7&lon=-75.4&z=1&rd=0&sr=0&cd=0&tk=1&os=0&mo=0&ht=0&mg=0&ob=0&wf=1&ml=1&ql=0&sl=0

That monster is still coming, back to a Cat 4.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Attachments:

Earl is a wuss

Mother Nature Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Could Earl be the big one? Are you preparing for
> it?


Coming for ya!

itchy Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Earl is a wuss


And you are too.

Kardinal Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Weatherman Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> I'll bet you a beer (or equivalent) it doesn't
> touch us.


Beer On. Rain this weekend with 20-30 mph winds.

My name is Earl Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Kardinal Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Weatherman Wrote:
> >
> --------------------------------------------------
>
> > I'll bet you a beer (or equivalent) it doesn't
> > touch us.
>
>
> Beer On. Rain this weekend with 20-30 mph winds.

Heh, would need something more specific than that. Like an amount of rain or something.

I'm tempted to take you up on it anyway, though. Weather Underground predicts zero rain or high winds this weekend.

Raht on "My Name Is Earl." Bring on the Beer!!!

OH SNAP!

Kardinal Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Weatherman Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Kardinal Wrote:
> >
> --------------------------------------------------
>
> > -----
> > > Weatherman Wrote:
> > >
> >
> --------------------------------------------------
>
> >
> > > -----
> > > > Contrary to my last post I put on here last
> > > night
> > > > I do not see this storm turning NE as fast
> as
> > > the
> > > > models are showing. It could possibly turn
> > > > slightly and go inland like isable did a
> few
> > > years
> > > > ago.
> > >
> > > I'll bet you a beer (or equivalent) it
> doesn't
> > > touch us.
> >
> > So you think we will get no rain or wind what
> so
> > ever? If it hugs the atlantic coast hurricane
> > force winds extend 70 miles and tropical force
> > winds extend 200 miles. You sure you want to
> make
> > that bet?
>
>
> No, not no rain whatsoever.
>
> No particularly unusual weather.
>
> Unfortunately, this kind of bet is hard to make
> because you need some kind of objective standard.
>
> I stand by my first post; the only impact to my
> life will be the panic of other people.


No unusual weather? We're currently under a flood watch. They expect the tidal waters to rise roughly a meter above normal, and it could be greater if the storm forces a more Westerly track.

Also, it is a large enough storm that if it happens to make landfall in the upper Outer Banks of NC, we will at the very least have counter-clockwise rotating clouds, and most likely some rain. If it stays far enough away though, we'll have some wind, and really amazingly clear air skies.

==================================================================================================
"And if any women or children get their legs torn off, or faces caved in, well, it's tough shit for them." -2LT. Bert Stiles, 505th, 339th (On Berlin Bombardier Mission, 1944).

ThePackLeader Wrote:
> No unusual weather? We're currently under a flood
> watch. They expect the tidal waters to rise
> roughly a meter above normal, and it could be
> greater if the storm forces a more Westerly
> track.

I get the feeling NWS issues watches if they think there's > 1% chance that something will happen. Can't tell you how many watches I've been under where there was absolutely zero impact.

You might find that the flood watch actually only applies to people in coastal areas, those near the river mostly. That's frequently the case. But since they issue them for "low lying and coastal areas in Fairfax County", the hypemachine press reports them as "all of Fairfax County".

Maybe. I haven't read the watch. Wait, I just did, and again, it's "COASTAL flood watch". Which means here in Fairfax City where I happen to be...zero impact.

But a watch is also a "conditions are right for" something, not a warning, whihc is "this is actually occuring". In other words...no flooding anywhere as of now.

> Also, it is a large enough storm that if it
> happens to make landfall in the upper Outer Banks
> of NC, we will at the very least have
> counter-clockwise rotating clouds, and most likely
> some rain. If it stays far enough away though,
> we'll have some wind, and really amazingly clear
> air skies.

Rain. Wow. Yeah, TOP drags out the "Operation Stormwatch; your center for all news relating to this storm!" for...rain. Which happens, what, every 5 or 6 days? Not exactly particularly unusual weather.

Much ado about nothing, I expect.

Oh, and in case anyone was wondering:



Forecast for tomorrow? Clear. Friday? Partly Cloudy. Saturday? Clear. Sunday? Clear.

NOTHING.

That storm looks like a monster. I see the State of Va has now declared an emergency. I hope that storm stays out at sea and no damage!

My name is Earl Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> itchy Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Earl is a wuss
>
>
> And you are too.


When I'm done kicking Earl's ass this weekend in my rodeo kayak......I'm coming after you.

Ok, to say it couldnt hit us is wrong, any given day anything could happen. I trust weathermen like I trust traffic cops.

Ok when the Storm that hit new Oleans hapened, the USA was helping the Ingrates try to take over parts of or give away a piece of the holy land to people who are cursed. Doesnt matter what side your on, that happend,


So guess what, Hillary is over der agin, telling em they better make nice, what 4 dead yesterday/ day before?.


So, Time to choose what you believe, I think we are due for one of these things to come right up the bay. Lookin like it could.

Also I gots a Football game on Sunday, so Im sure the rain will F it up someway, shape or form and thats my Forecast

Over to you " locals"
flame away


Dont bug me about Spelling, I went to FFX co Schools.

spanky Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Ok, to say it couldnt hit us is wrong, any given
> day anything could happen. I trust weathermen like
> I trust traffic cops.

You're totally right. Except IT COULDN'T HIT US.

"Any given day anything could happen" is just plain wrong. Tomorrow the Encyclopedia Britannica version from the year 1042 is not going to fall out the of the sky.

And likewise, tomorrow Hurricane Earl is not going to defy the laws of physics and end up in our back yard.

No matter what the TV news wants to overhype to get you to watch.

So the storm couldnt turn west at the right place and go up the inlet to ches bay?.. You say Impossible, unlikley,. not impossble,


And if a tornado took out a library, Enc Brit could fall from sky
again unlikely, cows and ;pigs fly sometimes too.

Never say never.

I see it at sea. So be prepared and join CERT of Fairfax just email pio@fairfaxcountycert.com fairfaxcounty.blogspot.com is the website uptodated information on what you as joe person can do to be ready for Earl.

I gave wrong email it is pio@fairfaxcountycert.org That person is a real estate agent and a person like me and you who works and lives in fairfax. She means well support her program.

OH NO! IT TURNED FOR US! HEAD FOR THE HILLS!

Oh wait...won't come within 500 miles of us!

,
Attachments:

OHNOES! 10% chance of tropical storm winds!

Just because you wont lose your house or sustain damage do not mean you do not need CERT. Sign up today.

Well shit.That was a bit disappointing
I have way too much tuna fish now

It was close. If you were in Easton, you got a bit shot of rain and wind. This side of the Chesapeake was barely touched.

Kardinal Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> OHNOES! 10% chance of tropical storm winds!

I'M PANICKING.

--------------------------------------------------------------
13 4826 0948 82695 25847. Yes.

What is Hurricane Earl?????? Is northern VA getting hit hard this weekend?

So glad that storm stayed out at Sea and no life lost. It would suck right now to be with out power.

We do not need power for CERT. And it is free.

If you signed up for CERT email me at pio@fairfaxcountycert.org I want to know if this is a good marketing tool. You people are great and a demographic that we do not see. Even the 7-11 crowd needs to be prepared.

By 7-11, I mean the teen hang outs.

Weatherman Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Kardinal Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Weatherman Wrote:
> >
> --------------------------------------------------
>
> > -----
> > > Contrary to my last post I put on here last
> > night
> > > I do not see this storm turning NE as fast as
> > the
> > > models are showing. It could possibly turn
> > > slightly and go inland like isable did a few
> > years
> > > ago.
> >
> > I'll bet you a beer (or equivalent) it doesn't
> > touch us.
>
> So you think we will get no rain or wind what so
> ever? If it hugs the atlantic coast hurricane
> force winds extend 70 miles and tropical force
> winds extend 200 miles. You sure you want to make
> that bet?


Shoulda took this bet...

WTF is up with CERT pimping itself in here? It's a decent program, but it's designed for disaster response on a large scale, not individual preparedness for things like storms.

But this was a major stormed that was planned. Evacuations and all. That is what CERT is for. CERT does not PIMP like PIMP your ride. CERT is a good program that all should do because even if the world does not end, CERT will teach you a thing or two about personal safety, medical skills, ways to use duct tape when nothing else is available. Lets say you are on a trail at Great Falls park or biking the trails on the C&O trails and you see a person or family member hurt. CERT teaches you skills to help them. Even if there is no disaster that will take our your city in this lifetime, like we learned with Earl, you never know. So please dont knock it, sign up for CERT. It is September the monthy we promote the awareness of disaster and preparing. Visit http://fairfaxcountycert.blogspot.com or email pio@fairfaxcountycert.org It may just save the life of a loved one. And using the letters WTF is no respect for the CERT program.

CERT cant fill the seats for the classes and in order for the two fire people to fill the jobs and not get fired, we need to go where ever we can to get bodies. And the class is good. I know I learned not to put frozen turkey in a hot turkey frier because that can burn down your house. I decided not to buy a turkey frier because I only purchase frozen turkeys because they are cheaper. To be honest, once a frozen turkey defrosts, I am not sure the difference between that and a fresh one, but I guess there is some chemical difference.

Rock on CERT!!!!!!!!!!!!!