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Fairfax Underground
Welcome to Fairfax Underground, a project site designed to improve communication among residents of Fairfax County, VA. Feel free to post anything Northern Virginia residents would find interesting.
Welcome to Fairfax Underground, a project site designed to improve communication among residents of Fairfax County, VA. Feel free to post anything Northern Virginia residents would find interesting.
Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
Weather
()
Date: February 15, 2015 03:04PM
I have been looking at the weather today and hearing lots of snow is coming our way. I have hear a lot of different numbers of how much snow but know that this is going to be the biggest snow storm this winter. So far the biggest has been 3 or 4 inches. So i am thinking about 5+ inches in this storm.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
yes!!
()
Date: February 15, 2015 03:13PM
Thanks for bringing the good news! Woot woot!! Want to play tea party?
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
fourlegs
()
Date: February 15, 2015 03:17PM
Wow never head this news before thanks for telling me before the 3 other threads in general did.
___________________________________________________________
“Imitation is suicide.”
-Ralph Waldo Emerson
___________________________________________________________
“Imitation is suicide.”
-Ralph Waldo Emerson
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
Wether Alert
()
Date: February 15, 2015 03:20PM
Winter Storm Watch in effect from February 16, 06:00 PM EST until February 17, 12:00 PM EST
5+ in of snow.
5+ in of snow.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
scared again
()
Date: February 15, 2015 03:24PM
I'm scared again... Just got through the wind now this.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
bona-fide weather
()
Date: February 15, 2015 04:14PM
Wether Alert Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Winter Storm Watch in effect from February 16,
> 06:00 PM EST until February 17, 12:00 PM EST
> 5+ in of snow.
BONE A FIED!!!!!
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY
EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW.
* ACCUMULATIONS...POTENTIAL FOR 5 OR MORE INCHES.
* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MONDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT
AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* WIND CHILL...5 TO 10 BELOW ZERO TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.
* TEMPERATURES...SINGLE DIGITS TONIGHT. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
MONDAY. TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
MORNING.
* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH THIS
EVENING...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT. WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH MONDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS THAT CAN QUICKLY
CAUSE HYPOTHERMIA AND FROST BITE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
BEGINNING MONDAY EVENING...ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND
SLIPPERY WITH VISIBILITIES BEING REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR
LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW
VISIBILITY WILL MAKE TRAVELLING DANGEROUS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.
-------------------------------------------------------
> Winter Storm Watch in effect from February 16,
> 06:00 PM EST until February 17, 12:00 PM EST
> 5+ in of snow.
BONE A FIED!!!!!
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY
EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW.
* ACCUMULATIONS...POTENTIAL FOR 5 OR MORE INCHES.
* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MONDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT
AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* WIND CHILL...5 TO 10 BELOW ZERO TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.
* TEMPERATURES...SINGLE DIGITS TONIGHT. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
MONDAY. TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
MORNING.
* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH THIS
EVENING...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT. WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH MONDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS THAT CAN QUICKLY
CAUSE HYPOTHERMIA AND FROST BITE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
BEGINNING MONDAY EVENING...ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND
SLIPPERY WITH VISIBILITIES BEING REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR
LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW
VISIBILITY WILL MAKE TRAVELLING DANGEROUS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
Different Jason
()
Date: February 15, 2015 04:41PM
This guy Samenow never met a weasel word he didn't like. Dude needs to get some balls and make a fucking prediction, he's not writing about the weather next year or even next week, this article is about the weather tomorrow. It's annoying to read qualifiers and caveats in every single paragraph.
Capital Weather Gang Moderate snowstorm an increasing likelihood Monday night
By Jason Samenow February 15 at 3:30 PM
Over the last day, computer models have come into strong agreement in predicting a moderate snow event for the D.C. area Monday night. Assuming no significant changes in the forecast, this should be the heaviest snowfall of the season so far.
About 4 to 8 inches of snow seems like a reasonable first estimate for the immediate D.C. metro area. However, our far northern suburbs – from Frederick to Baltimore and north – may receive a bit less, probably on the order of 3-6 inches. Some of our southeast suburbs – towards Southern Maryland and Virginia’s northern neck – could receive more, up to 5 to 10 inches of snow.
The snow is likely to begin between 4 and 8 p.m. Monday (southwest to northeast) and end between 4 and 8 a.m. Tuesday morning (southwest to northeast). The heaviest snow is likely to occur between about 8 p.m. Monday and 4 a.m. Tuesday throughout the area.
Snow amounts will be very sensitive to the exact track of the storm, which could change. If the storm shifts south (bust scenario), the immediate D.C. area may get just a couple inches of powdery snow. But if it shifts a little north (boom scenario), totals near 10 inches or so become a possibility.
“The storm – as currently forecast is taking a very favorable track for accumulating snow in Washington,” says Wes Junker, Capital Weather Gang’s winter weather expert. “But a shift south would disappoint snow lovers, while a shift north would make this a pretty significant snowfall for the region.”
Models forecast a weak area of low pressure to track from northern Louisiana through South Carolina and eventually off the coast of Cape Hatteras. Very cold air is in place, so all precipitation should fall as snow and every flake will stick given the frozen ground.
The snow is likely to be a powdery one. Models forecast roughly half an inch of melted liquid, which would normally would convert to about 5 inches of snow. However, as temperatures will fall into the upper teens and low 20s when the snow falls Monday night, the snow to liquid ratios will be closer to 12 to 1 or even 15 to 1 (and possibly higher in our northern areas). This is why we think up to about 8 inches of snow, or even a bit more in a boom scenario, is possible.
Given the amount of snow forecast and cold temperatures, school closings and changes in Federal government operating procedures are a decent bet Tuesday, unless there is a big change in the storm track to the south.
This looks to be a fairly polite snow – the bulk of it falling overnight Monday night – ending by the start of Tuesday morning’s commute.
Here’s a look at the various model snow forecasts – the level of agreement is pretty remarkable (note the models assume a 10 to 1 snow to liquid ratio, which is probably conservative in this case):
European model (7 inches for D.C)
NAM model (5 inches for D.C.)
GFS model (5 inches for D.C.)
Canadian model (5 inches for D.C.)
SREF model simulations, not shown, forecast an average of 7.5 inches
Finally, this is not the only snow in the forecast this week. A clipper may bring a bit more snow Wednesday and some snow or at least mixed precipitation is possible next weekend. Programming note: We will live blog the models tonight and post a snowfall map.
Capital Weather Gang Moderate snowstorm an increasing likelihood Monday night
By Jason Samenow February 15 at 3:30 PM
Over the last day, computer models have come into strong agreement in predicting a moderate snow event for the D.C. area Monday night. Assuming no significant changes in the forecast, this should be the heaviest snowfall of the season so far.
About 4 to 8 inches of snow seems like a reasonable first estimate for the immediate D.C. metro area. However, our far northern suburbs – from Frederick to Baltimore and north – may receive a bit less, probably on the order of 3-6 inches. Some of our southeast suburbs – towards Southern Maryland and Virginia’s northern neck – could receive more, up to 5 to 10 inches of snow.
The snow is likely to begin between 4 and 8 p.m. Monday (southwest to northeast) and end between 4 and 8 a.m. Tuesday morning (southwest to northeast). The heaviest snow is likely to occur between about 8 p.m. Monday and 4 a.m. Tuesday throughout the area.
Snow amounts will be very sensitive to the exact track of the storm, which could change. If the storm shifts south (bust scenario), the immediate D.C. area may get just a couple inches of powdery snow. But if it shifts a little north (boom scenario), totals near 10 inches or so become a possibility.
“The storm – as currently forecast is taking a very favorable track for accumulating snow in Washington,” says Wes Junker, Capital Weather Gang’s winter weather expert. “But a shift south would disappoint snow lovers, while a shift north would make this a pretty significant snowfall for the region.”
Models forecast a weak area of low pressure to track from northern Louisiana through South Carolina and eventually off the coast of Cape Hatteras. Very cold air is in place, so all precipitation should fall as snow and every flake will stick given the frozen ground.
The snow is likely to be a powdery one. Models forecast roughly half an inch of melted liquid, which would normally would convert to about 5 inches of snow. However, as temperatures will fall into the upper teens and low 20s when the snow falls Monday night, the snow to liquid ratios will be closer to 12 to 1 or even 15 to 1 (and possibly higher in our northern areas). This is why we think up to about 8 inches of snow, or even a bit more in a boom scenario, is possible.
Given the amount of snow forecast and cold temperatures, school closings and changes in Federal government operating procedures are a decent bet Tuesday, unless there is a big change in the storm track to the south.
This looks to be a fairly polite snow – the bulk of it falling overnight Monday night – ending by the start of Tuesday morning’s commute.
Here’s a look at the various model snow forecasts – the level of agreement is pretty remarkable (note the models assume a 10 to 1 snow to liquid ratio, which is probably conservative in this case):
European model (7 inches for D.C)
NAM model (5 inches for D.C.)
GFS model (5 inches for D.C.)
Canadian model (5 inches for D.C.)
SREF model simulations, not shown, forecast an average of 7.5 inches
Finally, this is not the only snow in the forecast this week. A clipper may bring a bit more snow Wednesday and some snow or at least mixed precipitation is possible next weekend. Programming note: We will live blog the models tonight and post a snowfall map.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
bona-fide weather
()
Date: February 15, 2015 04:45PM
Jason is not Bona-Fide.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
Fuckwithmeyouknowigotit
()
Date: February 15, 2015 05:03PM
Let's hope it shifts north.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
Bambang Soelistyo
()
Date: February 15, 2015 05:37PM
Let's see, how many times have we heard this tale this winter. Run for your lives, clean out the grocery store, hide your children! And then nothing happens.
You people are so gullible.
You people are so gullible.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
I just heard....
()
Date: February 15, 2015 06:10PM
I just heard on the tv maybe.....MAYBE 3 inches.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
Why?
()
Date: February 15, 2015 06:13PM
Fuckwithmeyouknowigotit Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Let's hope it shifts north.
I thought you liked not going to school you could easily get 2-3 days off out of this.
-------------------------------------------------------
> Let's hope it shifts north.
I thought you liked not going to school you could easily get 2-3 days off out of this.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
shifty shifty
()
Date: February 15, 2015 06:19PM
A north shift would put us in the bulls eye with potential for 10 + inches. He is hoping for 2-3 days off.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
Ahh.....
()
Date: February 15, 2015 06:30PM
I thought he meant shifting way north and missing us.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
Fuckwithmeyouknowigotit
()
Date: February 15, 2015 06:33PM
It's supposed to below 10 degrees from Wednesday to Friday, so we could a day off that alone, but I'm not getting complacent on that.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
Bambang Soelistyo
()
Date: February 15, 2015 06:34PM
How did you learn a word like complacent when you never go to school?
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
weatherDOTcom
()
Date: February 15, 2015 06:46PM
upgrade 10-12" monday night http://www.weather.com/weather/today/l/20121:4:US
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
ANOTHER TROLL ALERT
()
Date: February 15, 2015 06:48PM
Weather Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I have been looking at the weather today and
> hearing lots of snow is coming our way. I have
> hear a lot of different numbers of how much snow
> but know that this is going to be the biggest snow
> storm this winter. So far the biggest has been 3
> or 4 inches. So i am thinking about 5+ inches in
> this storm.
TROLL
-------------------------------------------------------
> I have been looking at the weather today and
> hearing lots of snow is coming our way. I have
> hear a lot of different numbers of how much snow
> but know that this is going to be the biggest snow
> storm this winter. So far the biggest has been 3
> or 4 inches. So i am thinking about 5+ inches in
> this storm.
TROLL
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
Fuckwithmeyouknowigotit
()
Date: February 15, 2015 06:51PM
Bambang Soelistyo Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> How did you learn a word like complacent when you
> never go to school?
I like to think I'm pretty intelligent. And, I DO GO TO SCHOOL! Just look at my grammar and vocabulary.
-------------------------------------------------------
> How did you learn a word like complacent when you
> never go to school?
I like to think I'm pretty intelligent. And, I DO GO TO SCHOOL! Just look at my grammar and vocabulary.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
oh sure
()
Date: February 15, 2015 06:55PM
Fuckwithmeyouknowigotit Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Bambang Soelistyo Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > How did you learn a word like complacent when
> you
> > never go to school?
>
>
> I like to think I'm pretty intelligent. And, I DO
> GO TO SCHOOL! Just look at my grammar and
> vocabulary.
Anybody whose name starts with the F word is highly schooled in grammar and vocabulary. We are so impressed.
-------------------------------------------------------
> Bambang Soelistyo Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > How did you learn a word like complacent when
> you
> > never go to school?
>
>
> I like to think I'm pretty intelligent. And, I DO
> GO TO SCHOOL! Just look at my grammar and
> vocabulary.
Anybody whose name starts with the F word is highly schooled in grammar and vocabulary. We are so impressed.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
Wink
()
Date: February 15, 2015 07:02PM
Fuckwithmeyouknowigotit Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> It's supposed to below 10 degrees from Wednesday
> to Friday, so we could a day off that alone, but
> I'm not getting complacent on that.
...complacent. The rest is superfluous.
-------------------------------------------------------
> It's supposed to below 10 degrees from Wednesday
> to Friday, so we could a day off that alone, but
> I'm not getting complacent on that.
...complacent. The rest is superfluous.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
Fuckwithmeyouknowigotit
()
Date: February 15, 2015 07:07PM
Wink Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Fuckwithmeyouknowigotit Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > It's supposed to below 10 degrees from
> Wednesday
> > to Friday, so we could a day off that alone,
> but
> > I'm not getting complacent on that.
>
> ...complacent. The rest is superfluous.
I actually had to look that one up, haha.
-------------------------------------------------------
> Fuckwithmeyouknowigotit Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > It's supposed to below 10 degrees from
> Wednesday
> > to Friday, so we could a day off that alone,
> but
> > I'm not getting complacent on that.
>
> ...complacent. The rest is superfluous.
I actually had to look that one up, haha.
Re: Lots of snow headed our way
Posted by:
Fuckwithmeyouknowigotit
()
Date: February 15, 2015 08:09PM
weatherDOTcom Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> upgrade 10-12" monday night
> http://www.weather.com/weather/today/l/20121:4:US
Don't lie like that.
-------------------------------------------------------
> upgrade 10-12" monday night
> http://www.weather.com/weather/today/l/20121:4:US
Don't lie like that.