Re: Steve K2's HS Football Lines
Posted by:
VA Preps
()
Date: October 17, 2014 06:21AM
My predictions record climbed a bit last week as I correctly hit on 20 of the 27 games played (.740) which upped my season mark to 143-51 (.737). Still a far cry from where I want to be but, all in all, not too shabby.
OSBOURN AT BATTLEFIELD
Battlefield has won the last two meetings 21-0 and 24-6 and things seem to be shaping up right along those lines for this year's contest. The Bobcats once again rank among the best teams in the state with quarterback Matt Gallagher leading a diversified attack that will challenge the Osbourn defense both on the ground and through the air. The Eagles defense has not been up to those types of challenges this season as they've been hit for 34 or more points in four of their six games. The Bobcats should score early and cruise to another win...Battlefield 38, Osbourn 7
STONEWALL JACKSON AT PATRIOT
Stonewall has won a pair of shootout-type games in this series opening with a 28-24 win in 2012 before capturing a 41-35 victory last season. Despite the breakaway talents of tailback Reggie Floyd, the Raiders offense has not reached the same level as in the recent past scoring over 20 points in a game only once this season and they enter this game being shut out by Battlefield last Friday. Patriot, on the other hand, has been spinning numbers on the scoreboard like a cartoon putting up at least 34 points in every game this season behind quarterback Cody Agnew and wide receiver Nick Mathews, who no one has slowed this year. It looks like the right time to pick the Pioneers to get their first win in this series...Patriot 40, Stonewall Jackson 24
OAKTON AT CENTREVILLE
Centreville has won five of the last six meetings and things look bleak for Oakton in this year's contest as the Cougars have dropped three straight coming into this game including a 31-10 loss to Chantilly last week. Somewhat unexpectedly, Centreville enters this game coming off a loss as well falling to Westfield 42-41 in double overtime last week. There has been whispers that South Carolina commit AJ Turner may find his way back onto the field this week though which would be a big boost in the arm for a Wildcats team still capable of running the table. They'll regain some momentum here...Centreville 44, Oakton 14
HERNDON AT CHANTILLY
Chantilly has won nine straight games between the two schools including a 56-40 shootout win last season. Herndon had been an offensive juggernaut through their first five games scoring 21 or more in each but they were shut out last week by Edison which gives reason for pause. Still, quarterback Ryan McLaughlin heads up a potent attack capable of big things. Though the Chargers put up 38 points on Lee in their opener and 31 against Oakton last week, the offense has not been very explosive this season scoring 41 points in their other three contests. They'll have to rely on their defense to make plays which should make for an interesting battle. If the Hornets offense is back in form, this will be a four quarter thriller...Chantilly 30, Herndon 28
ROBINSON AT WESTFIELD
As hard as this is to believe, Westfield has dominated this series between two NoVa power programs as the Bulldogs have won ten of the last eleven meetings. The last three have been decided by a total of eleven points, so the games are tight even if the series has not been. The Rams come in playing perhaps their best football in years, however, as they enter 6-0 riding a running game that has seen three backs -- Marcus Denham, Roman Lowery and Sean Foncha -- all total nearly 600 yards to date. They'll square off with a Westfield squad that has only dropped one of their six games this season and are just a week off topping Centreville in double overtime, a confidence-building win if there ever was one. The offense has found a nice balance between handing the ball to Evan Gray and throwing it to Tyler Scanlon. The power point implications in this game are monstrous as the winner could end up with the top seed overall...Westfield 28, Robinson 26
FAIRFAX AT McLEAN
Fairfax has collected three straight wins in the series topping McLean 45-20 last season. The Rebels evened their record at 3-3 last week when they topped Langley in a one-touchdown contest. They've been on a roller coaster ride this season scoring 35 or more in three games but totaling only 21 points in their other three games. McLean also comes in at 3-3 but almost all of their games look the same on paper as they are playing high-scoring shootouts almost every week. Quarterback Brian Maffei has been magnificent throwing for over 1,000 yards and 12 touchdowns in three games. This one is sizing up as another high-scoring affair and the Highlanders seem to be a bit more at home in those type games right now...McLean 39, Fairfax 33
SOUTH LAKES AT LANGLEY
Langley has won all but one game in this series since 2004 and they cruised to a 56-33 win last season. South Lakes enters this game fresh off their first win of the season as they topped Jefferson 49-6 last week as they've struggled to slow opposing offenses this season allowing 33 or more in their first five games. They'll have to buck up this week facing Saxons running back Tyler West who has totaled over 1,000 yards and 14 touchdowns already this season. Winners of their last two games, the Saxons can start making a run at a postseason berth with another win here...Langley 36, South Lakes 20
JEFFERSON AT MADISON
Jefferson snapped an eight-year Madison winning streak last season with a 24-21 victory, but the Colonials aren't playing at the same level this season as they did last losing their first six games this season. The offense has only scored more than 14 points in one contest this season while the defense has been stung for 28 or more each week. Madison has collected only two wins this season but quarterback Jason Gastrock has been on fire throwing for more than 200 yards in four of their six games totaling nearly 1,300 yards to date. The Warhawks have played a tough schedule to date, so they should be prepped for this contest...Madison 37, Jefferson 14
HAYFIELD AT STUART
Hayfield has won four of the five meetings between the two schools scoring back-to-back shutouts in the last two games. The Hawks have won three straight to even their record after six games with the offense putting up 34 or more points in each win. Quarterback Sheldon Isaac has been on fire throwing for nearly 1,800 yards and 14 touchdowns on the year with wideouts Tyler Hodge and Frank Pannell sharing playmaking duties out wide. The Raiders fell to 2-4 last week in losing to Marshall and the defense has been hit for 28 or more in four of their six games, so they may struggle slowing down the Hawks...Hayfield 40, Stuart 13
WASHINGTON-LEE AT EDISON
A Washington-Lee 29-14 victory snapped a two-year Edison winning streak in this series and the teams have split their last four meetings. At 4-2, the Generals are making a run at the postseason and a win here will be critical to their success with Centreville, Hayfield and Yorktown remaining on the schedule. The offense has been spectacular averaging 32.5 points per game behind quarterback Ronnie Fesco (1,186 yards and 12 touchdowns) and running back Daquay Harris (693 yards and 9 scores). Edison blanked Herndon last week, a great sign heading into this game, but in the four games prior, they were hit for 20 or more points. The Generals should be able to outscore the Eagles here...Washington-Lee 29, Edison 20
YORKTOWN AT WAKEFIELD
Yorktown has won every single meeting between the two programs since the turn of the century with none of the last five decided by fewer than 31 points. At 3-3, the Patriots have alternated winning and losing each week through the first six games. They've been pretty solid on offense scoring 21 or more in all but one game this season while the defense has held opponents to 27 points in their three wins, but surrendered 96 in their three losses. They'll be squaring off with an entirely different Wakefield squad than in previous seasons as their five wins represents more wins than any other year this century. Running back Leon Young has rushed for over 800 yards this season and he's totaled more than 160 in each of the last three games. The defense has been sound as well holding four of their six opponents to 14 or fewer points. Yorktown is fighting for their postseason lives so they'll be highly motivated and they'll need to play well to win this coin toss game...Yorktown 26, Wakefield 21
ANNANDALE AT WOODSON
Woodson has won four of the five meetings between the two schools, but that includes two 14-7 wins, so the two programs have been comparable of late. The Atoms have been playing well this season winning four of their six games only 15 points from being undefeated. They've won both low- and high-scoring battles topping Oakton 14-10 and T.C. Williams 61-40. Running back Devin Hamlett has been outstanding as the focal point of the offense. The Cavaliers, on the other hand, are playing up-and-down affairs as there's been at least 47 points scored in every game that they've played. The offense has scored 28 or more in their last four games but the defense has allowed 20 or more in each contest. The Atoms are in the postseason hunt and have to win games like this to stay there...Annandale 30, Woodson 20
LAKE BRADDOCK AT WEST SPRINGFIELD
Lake Braddock enters this match up riding a five-year winning streak in the series including a 51-0 victory last season. The Bruins come in as the top team in the VHSL power point rankings in 6A North as they've won five of their six games as their 19-17 loss to Robinson stands as the only thing that mars their record. The offense, behind quarterback Kyle Edwards, has totaled 28 or more in three straight after being held to 13 by Stone Bridge and 17 by Robinson. They'll be meeting a Spartans squad better than most that they've seen in the recent past as West Springfield is 4-2 and pushing for a home playoff seed. They've scored as consistently as Lake Braddock putting up 34 or more in four of their six games though premier powers South County and Centreville held them to a combined 13 points. The Spartans and running back Adis Ojeda will test the Bruins but they're facing an uphill battle...Lake Braddock 31, West Springfield 14
SOUTH COUNTY AT WEST POTOMAC
South County snapped a three-year West Potomac winning streak in this series last season with a 49-22 victory over the Wolverines. The Stallions are serious state championship contenders this season having raced out to a 6-0 mark on the season with only one team (Hayfield) playing to within 20 points of them. The offense, driven by running backs Gerald Hulett and Robert Avery, has scored 34 or more in every game this season proving to be nearly unstoppable at this point. West Potomac will have a hard time matching score-for-score with the Stallions as they've scored more than 20 points in a game only once this season. Defensively, the Wolverines will have to play their best game of the season as they've been hit for 30 by Lake Braddock, 54 by Centreville and 35 by West Springfield. It's not a great match up on paper for the Wolverines...South County 46, West Potomac 13
LEE AT T.C. WILLIAMS
T.C. Williams has won the last two games in this series notching back-to-back shutouts by topping Lee 47-0 in 2012 and 32-0 last year. The Lancers have struggled this season winning only one game (20-17 over Edison) and they've been outscored 107-12 in the last two weeks by South County and Annandale. T.C. Williams has been on the same path, as well, scoring an opening week victory over Dunbar (D.C.) before dropping five straight. They've also squared off with Annandale and South County over the past two weeks being outscored 135-52 by the duo. Both teams should enter this game feeling great about their chances to notch a win but the Titans have played similar opponents a bit more competitively than the Lancers which gives them the edge...T.C. Williams 36, Lee 21