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Welcome to Fairfax Underground, a project site designed to improve communication among residents of Fairfax County, VA. Feel free to post anything Northern Virginia residents would find interesting.
Welcome to Fairfax Underground, a project site designed to improve communication among residents of Fairfax County, VA. Feel free to post anything Northern Virginia residents would find interesting.
SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
PC retards
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:04AM
http://www.syracuse.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/10/helmut_norpoth_donald_trump_victory.html
TRUMP WINS THE ELECTION.
The real clear average is poorly designed.
Ips, la times and Rasmussen are the most accurate and the model that has determined every election since 1912 picks Trump.
TRUMP WINS THE ELECTION.
The real clear average is poorly designed.
Ips, la times and Rasmussen are the most accurate and the model that has determined every election since 1912 picks Trump.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
Trump Hump
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:06AM
That's nice. Why don't you put 10k on Trump in Vegas. You can retire if you win.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
PC retards
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:10AM
^^^^
THATS THE MODEL OF THE INCORRECT POLLS.
The MODRL THAT DETERMINED EVERY PRESIDRNT SINCE 1912 Picks
TRUMP!
Suck it LIBTARDS !
THATS THE MODEL OF THE INCORRECT POLLS.
The MODRL THAT DETERMINED EVERY PRESIDRNT SINCE 1912 Picks
TRUMP!
Suck it LIBTARDS !
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
Trump Hump
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:12AM
PC retards Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> ^^^^
>
> THATS THE MODEL OF THE INCORRECT POLLS.
>
> The MODRL THAT DETERMINED EVERY PRESIDRNT SINCE
> 1912 Picks
>
> TRUMP!
>
> Suck it LIBTARDS !
Then throw 10k down in Vegas if you're so confident about it. Otherwise, you're just spewing bullshit. Face it, you have no confidence in this report.
-------------------------------------------------------
> ^^^^
>
> THATS THE MODEL OF THE INCORRECT POLLS.
>
> The MODRL THAT DETERMINED EVERY PRESIDRNT SINCE
> 1912 Picks
>
> TRUMP!
>
> Suck it LIBTARDS !
Then throw 10k down in Vegas if you're so confident about it. Otherwise, you're just spewing bullshit. Face it, you have no confidence in this report.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
PC retards
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:13AM
MAGA !
Attachments:
Attachments:
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
Maga123
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:15AM
Trump Hump Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> PC retards Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > ^^^^
> >
> > THATS THE MODEL OF THE INCORRECT POLLS.
> >
> > The MODRL THAT DETERMINED EVERY PRESIDRNT SINCE
> > 1912 Picks
> >
> > TRUMP!
> >
> > Suck it LIBTARDS !
>
> Then throw 10k down in Vegas if you're so
> confident about it. Otherwise, you're just
> spewing bullshit. Face it, you have no confidence
> in this report.
You sound scared.
-------------------------------------------------------
> PC retards Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > ^^^^
> >
> > THATS THE MODEL OF THE INCORRECT POLLS.
> >
> > The MODRL THAT DETERMINED EVERY PRESIDRNT SINCE
> > 1912 Picks
> >
> > TRUMP!
> >
> > Suck it LIBTARDS !
>
> Then throw 10k down in Vegas if you're so
> confident about it. Otherwise, you're just
> spewing bullshit. Face it, you have no confidence
> in this report.
You sound scared.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
Trump Hump
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:15AM
Only image that matters.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
MAGA 123
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:17AM
That's the model that is bunk^^^
The one that is always right picks Trump!!
Hahahaha ! Suck it LIBTARDS !!
Attachments:
The one that is always right picks Trump!!
Hahahaha ! Suck it LIBTARDS !!
Attachments:
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
Trump Hump
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:19AM
Rightard too scared to put his money where his mouth is. Knows it's bullshit yet tries to peddle it anyways. Typical teabagger.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
The real numbers know
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:24AM
Trump Hump Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> PC retards Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > ^^^^
> >
> > THATS THE MODEL OF THE INCORRECT POLLS.
> >
> > The MODRL THAT DETERMINED EVERY PRESIDRNT SINCE
> > 1912 Picks
> >
> > TRUMP!
> >
> > Suck it LIBTARDS !
>
> Then throw 10k down in Vegas if you're so
> confident about it. Otherwise, you're just
> spewing bullshit. Face it, you have no confidence
> in this report
67% of bets in the UK are going for Trump currently. The big money betters have let the idiots put their money on Hillary to drive up the odds on a Trump bet and now they're getting a 6 to 1 pay off. Now why don't you go put your $10K down on Hillary if it's so sure. That would get you a quick $2K if you win.
BTW, you can't legally bet on presidential elections in Vegas. Do you know anything? It seems that you don't.
-------------------------------------------------------
> PC retards Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > ^^^^
> >
> > THATS THE MODEL OF THE INCORRECT POLLS.
> >
> > The MODRL THAT DETERMINED EVERY PRESIDRNT SINCE
> > 1912 Picks
> >
> > TRUMP!
> >
> > Suck it LIBTARDS !
>
> Then throw 10k down in Vegas if you're so
> confident about it. Otherwise, you're just
> spewing bullshit. Face it, you have no confidence
> in this report
67% of bets in the UK are going for Trump currently. The big money betters have let the idiots put their money on Hillary to drive up the odds on a Trump bet and now they're getting a 6 to 1 pay off. Now why don't you go put your $10K down on Hillary if it's so sure. That would get you a quick $2K if you win.
BTW, you can't legally bet on presidential elections in Vegas. Do you know anything? It seems that you don't.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
twitty
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:29AM
The real numbers know Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Trump Hump Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > PC retards Wrote:
> >
> --------------------------------------------------
>
> > -----
> > > ^^^^
> > >
> > > THATS THE MODEL OF THE INCORRECT POLLS.
> > >
> > > The MODRL THAT DETERMINED EVERY PRESIDRNT
> SINCE
> > > 1912 Picks
> > >
> > > TRUMP!
> > >
> > > Suck it LIBTARDS !
> >
> > Then throw 10k down in Vegas if you're so
> > confident about it. Otherwise, you're just
> > spewing bullshit. Face it, you have no
> confidence
> > in this report
>
>
> 67% of bets in the UK are going for Trump
> currently. The big money betters have let the
> idiots put their money on Hillary to drive up the
> odds on a Trump bet and now they're getting a 6 to
> 1 pay off. Now why don't you go put your $10K
> down on Hillary if it's so sure. That would get
> you a quick $2K if you win.
>
> BTW, you can't legally bet on presidential
> elections in Vegas. Do you know anything? It
> seems that you don't.
That means she's heavily favored to win. Winning 2k is better than losing 10k don't you think?
-------------------------------------------------------
> Trump Hump Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > PC retards Wrote:
> >
> --------------------------------------------------
>
> > -----
> > > ^^^^
> > >
> > > THATS THE MODEL OF THE INCORRECT POLLS.
> > >
> > > The MODRL THAT DETERMINED EVERY PRESIDRNT
> SINCE
> > > 1912 Picks
> > >
> > > TRUMP!
> > >
> > > Suck it LIBTARDS !
> >
> > Then throw 10k down in Vegas if you're so
> > confident about it. Otherwise, you're just
> > spewing bullshit. Face it, you have no
> confidence
> > in this report
>
>
> 67% of bets in the UK are going for Trump
> currently. The big money betters have let the
> idiots put their money on Hillary to drive up the
> odds on a Trump bet and now they're getting a 6 to
> 1 pay off. Now why don't you go put your $10K
> down on Hillary if it's so sure. That would get
> you a quick $2K if you win.
>
> BTW, you can't legally bet on presidential
> elections in Vegas. Do you know anything? It
> seems that you don't.
That means she's heavily favored to win. Winning 2k is better than losing 10k don't you think?
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
Sure Skippy
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:30AM
PC retards Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> http://www.syracuse.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/10
> /helmut_norpoth_donald_trump_victory.html
>
>
> TRUMP WINS THE ELECTION.
>
> The real clear average is poorly designed.
>
> Ips, la times and Rasmussen are the most accurate
> and the model that has determined every election
> since 1912 picks Trump.
Monday Nov 5, 2012
Rasmussen Reports
Going Out on a Limb: Romney Beats Obama, Handily
Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election.
-------------------------------------------------------
> http://www.syracuse.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/10
> /helmut_norpoth_donald_trump_victory.html
>
>
> TRUMP WINS THE ELECTION.
>
> The real clear average is poorly designed.
>
> Ips, la times and Rasmussen are the most accurate
> and the model that has determined every election
> since 1912 picks Trump.
Monday Nov 5, 2012
Rasmussen Reports
Going Out on a Limb: Romney Beats Obama, Handily
Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
Do you understand betting odds
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:32AM
twitty Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> The real numbers know Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Trump Hump Wrote:
> >
> --------------------------------------------------
>
> > -----
> > > PC retards Wrote:
> > >
> >
> --------------------------------------------------
>
> >
> > > -----
> > > > ^^^^
> > > >
> > > > THATS THE MODEL OF THE INCORRECT POLLS.
> > > >
> > > > The MODRL THAT DETERMINED EVERY PRESIDRNT
> > SINCE
> > > > 1912 Picks
> > > >
> > > > TRUMP!
> > > >
> > > > Suck it LIBTARDS !
> > >
> > > Then throw 10k down in Vegas if you're so
> > > confident about it. Otherwise, you're just
> > > spewing bullshit. Face it, you have no
> > confidence
> > > in this report
> >
> >
> > 67% of bets in the UK are going for Trump
> > currently. The big money betters have let the
> > idiots put their money on Hillary to drive up
> the
> > odds on a Trump bet and now they're getting a 6
> to
> > 1 pay off. Now why don't you go put your $10K
> > down on Hillary if it's so sure. That would
> get
> > you a quick $2K if you win.
> >
> > BTW, you can't legally bet on presidential
> > elections in Vegas. Do you know anything? It
> > seems that you don't.
>
>
> That means she's heavily favored to win. Winning
> 2k is better than losing 10k don't you think?
Yes, so that faggot needs to put down $10K so he can win a quick $2K. That's the current payoff in London. If he's so sure that she's a lock, why not put his own money where is uninformed, braindead mouth is? Two reasons: assholes like that will never see $10K and he's too much of a pussy to do what he wants others to do. In other words, he's a fucking loser.
-------------------------------------------------------
> The real numbers know Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Trump Hump Wrote:
> >
> --------------------------------------------------
>
> > -----
> > > PC retards Wrote:
> > >
> >
> --------------------------------------------------
>
> >
> > > -----
> > > > ^^^^
> > > >
> > > > THATS THE MODEL OF THE INCORRECT POLLS.
> > > >
> > > > The MODRL THAT DETERMINED EVERY PRESIDRNT
> > SINCE
> > > > 1912 Picks
> > > >
> > > > TRUMP!
> > > >
> > > > Suck it LIBTARDS !
> > >
> > > Then throw 10k down in Vegas if you're so
> > > confident about it. Otherwise, you're just
> > > spewing bullshit. Face it, you have no
> > confidence
> > > in this report
> >
> >
> > 67% of bets in the UK are going for Trump
> > currently. The big money betters have let the
> > idiots put their money on Hillary to drive up
> the
> > odds on a Trump bet and now they're getting a 6
> to
> > 1 pay off. Now why don't you go put your $10K
> > down on Hillary if it's so sure. That would
> get
> > you a quick $2K if you win.
> >
> > BTW, you can't legally bet on presidential
> > elections in Vegas. Do you know anything? It
> > seems that you don't.
>
>
> That means she's heavily favored to win. Winning
> 2k is better than losing 10k don't you think?
Yes, so that faggot needs to put down $10K so he can win a quick $2K. That's the current payoff in London. If he's so sure that she's a lock, why not put his own money where is uninformed, braindead mouth is? Two reasons: assholes like that will never see $10K and he's too much of a pussy to do what he wants others to do. In other words, he's a fucking loser.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
PC retards
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:37AM
Moron libs latching on to the model thats always incorrect
The correct model picks MAGA!!!
Attachments:
The correct model picks MAGA!!!
Attachments:
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
Trump Hump
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:39AM
Do you understand betting odds Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
>
> Yes, so that faggot needs to put down $10K so he
> can win a quick $2K. That's the current payoff in
> London. If he's so sure that she's a lock, why
> not put his own money where is uninformed,
> braindead mouth is? Two reasons: assholes like
> that will never see $10K and he's too much of a
> pussy to do what he wants others to do. In other
> words, he's a fucking loser.
I've got a few dollars lying around for a sure thing. If there's a legal way for you and I to put 10k down among ourselves, you up for it loser? I say Hillary wins and you can take your boy Trump. You got the stones for it?
-------------------------------------------------------
>
> Yes, so that faggot needs to put down $10K so he
> can win a quick $2K. That's the current payoff in
> London. If he's so sure that she's a lock, why
> not put his own money where is uninformed,
> braindead mouth is? Two reasons: assholes like
> that will never see $10K and he's too much of a
> pussy to do what he wants others to do. In other
> words, he's a fucking loser.
I've got a few dollars lying around for a sure thing. If there's a legal way for you and I to put 10k down among ourselves, you up for it loser? I say Hillary wins and you can take your boy Trump. You got the stones for it?
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
Maga123
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:44AM
MAGA !!
Attachments:
Attachments:
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
More commie bleating
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:47AM
Trump Hump Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Do you understand betting odds Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> >
> > Yes, so that faggot needs to put down $10K so
> he
> > can win a quick $2K. That's the current payoff
> in
> > London. If he's so sure that she's a lock, why
> > not put his own money where is uninformed,
> > braindead mouth is? Two reasons: assholes
> like
> > that will never see $10K and he's too much of a
> > pussy to do what he wants others to do. In
> other
> > words, he's a fucking loser.
>
> I've got a few dollars lying around for a sure
> thing. If there's a legal way for you and I to
> put 10k down among ourselves, you up for it loser?
> I say Hillary wins and you can take your boy
> Trump. You got the stones for it?
No fuckstick. I'm not the asshole saying it's a sure thing. You are. So put your fucking money down or STFU. Anything other than that and your just another loudmouth loser beta-boy. And we all know that's what you are and aren't going to do shit. Cause that's what babbling dumbfucks like you do - anonymously babble your unamerican talking points like the good little sheep you are.
-------------------------------------------------------
> Do you understand betting odds Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> >
> > Yes, so that faggot needs to put down $10K so
> he
> > can win a quick $2K. That's the current payoff
> in
> > London. If he's so sure that she's a lock, why
> > not put his own money where is uninformed,
> > braindead mouth is? Two reasons: assholes
> like
> > that will never see $10K and he's too much of a
> > pussy to do what he wants others to do. In
> other
> > words, he's a fucking loser.
>
> I've got a few dollars lying around for a sure
> thing. If there's a legal way for you and I to
> put 10k down among ourselves, you up for it loser?
> I say Hillary wins and you can take your boy
> Trump. You got the stones for it?
No fuckstick. I'm not the asshole saying it's a sure thing. You are. So put your fucking money down or STFU. Anything other than that and your just another loudmouth loser beta-boy. And we all know that's what you are and aren't going to do shit. Cause that's what babbling dumbfucks like you do - anonymously babble your unamerican talking points like the good little sheep you are.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
PC retards
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:47AM
MODEL PICKED EVERY WINNER SINCE 1912!!!
Attachments:
Attachments:
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
Trump Hump
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:51AM
More commie bleating Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Trump Hump Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Do you understand betting odds Wrote:
> >
> --------------------------------------------------
>
> > -----
> > >
> > > Yes, so that faggot needs to put down $10K so
> > he
> > > can win a quick $2K. That's the current
> payoff
> > in
> > > London. If he's so sure that she's a lock,
> why
> > > not put his own money where is uninformed,
> > > braindead mouth is? Two reasons: assholes
> > like
> > > that will never see $10K and he's too much of
> a
> > > pussy to do what he wants others to do. In
> > other
> > > words, he's a fucking loser.
> >
> > I've got a few dollars lying around for a sure
> > thing. If there's a legal way for you and I to
> > put 10k down among ourselves, you up for it
> loser?
> > I say Hillary wins and you can take your boy
> > Trump. You got the stones for it?
>
>
> No fuckstick. I'm not the asshole saying it's a
> sure thing. You are. So put your fucking money
> down or STFU. Anything other than that and your
> just another loudmouth loser beta-boy. And we all
> know that's what you are and aren't going to do
> shit. Cause that's what babbling dumbfucks like
> you do - anonymously babble your unamerican
> talking points like the good little sheep you are.
Just what I thought. Chicken shit, rightard. Now scurry away little boy, and let the adults talk.
-------------------------------------------------------
> Trump Hump Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Do you understand betting odds Wrote:
> >
> --------------------------------------------------
>
> > -----
> > >
> > > Yes, so that faggot needs to put down $10K so
> > he
> > > can win a quick $2K. That's the current
> payoff
> > in
> > > London. If he's so sure that she's a lock,
> why
> > > not put his own money where is uninformed,
> > > braindead mouth is? Two reasons: assholes
> > like
> > > that will never see $10K and he's too much of
> a
> > > pussy to do what he wants others to do. In
> > other
> > > words, he's a fucking loser.
> >
> > I've got a few dollars lying around for a sure
> > thing. If there's a legal way for you and I to
> > put 10k down among ourselves, you up for it
> loser?
> > I say Hillary wins and you can take your boy
> > Trump. You got the stones for it?
>
>
> No fuckstick. I'm not the asshole saying it's a
> sure thing. You are. So put your fucking money
> down or STFU. Anything other than that and your
> just another loudmouth loser beta-boy. And we all
> know that's what you are and aren't going to do
> shit. Cause that's what babbling dumbfucks like
> you do - anonymously babble your unamerican
> talking points like the good little sheep you are.
Just what I thought. Chicken shit, rightard. Now scurry away little boy, and let the adults talk.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
twitty
()
Date: October 23, 2016 09:55AM
Do you understand betting odds Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> > That means she's heavily favored to win.
> Winning
> > 2k is better than losing 10k don't you think?
>
>
> Yes, so that faggot needs to put down $10K so he
> can win a quick $2K. That's the current payoff in
> London. If he's so sure that she's a lock, why
> not put his own money where is uninformed,
> braindead mouth is? Two reasons: assholes like
> that will never see $10K and he's too much of a
> pussy to do what he wants others to do. In other
> words, he's a fucking loser.
Got a link? Even a 20% payoff is pretty sweet. There must be a catch. No way it's straight up.
-------------------------------------------------------
> > That means she's heavily favored to win.
> Winning
> > 2k is better than losing 10k don't you think?
>
>
> Yes, so that faggot needs to put down $10K so he
> can win a quick $2K. That's the current payoff in
> London. If he's so sure that she's a lock, why
> not put his own money where is uninformed,
> braindead mouth is? Two reasons: assholes like
> that will never see $10K and he's too much of a
> pussy to do what he wants others to do. In other
> words, he's a fucking loser.
Got a link? Even a 20% payoff is pretty sweet. There must be a catch. No way it's straight up.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
HopeHopeHope
()
Date: October 23, 2016 10:00AM
> Ips, la times and Rasmussen are the most accurate
> and the model that has determined every election
> since 1912 picks Trump.
The final Rasmussen Reports daily tracking poll showed Mitt Romney with 49 percent national support and President Obama with 48 percent national support.[49] Obama won the election by close to 4 percentage points.
An analysis by Nate Silver on FiveThirtyEight ranked Rasmussen 20th out of 23 pollsters for accuracy in the 2012 elections with an average error of 4.2 points.[52]
> and the model that has determined every election
> since 1912 picks Trump.
The final Rasmussen Reports daily tracking poll showed Mitt Romney with 49 percent national support and President Obama with 48 percent national support.[49] Obama won the election by close to 4 percentage points.
An analysis by Nate Silver on FiveThirtyEight ranked Rasmussen 20th out of 23 pollsters for accuracy in the 2012 elections with an average error of 4.2 points.[52]
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
MAGA 123
()
Date: October 23, 2016 10:01AM
I wonder who's going to win?
Attachments:
Attachments:
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
Gotta admit
()
Date: October 23, 2016 10:03AM
It would be wise to believe the Election model that has been right since 1912.
Attachments:
Attachments:
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
facts are not your friend
()
Date: October 23, 2016 10:06AM
If you read the articles, even the professor admits this will be the year his predictor will be wrong.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
Follow the money
()
Date: October 23, 2016 10:08AM
Trump Hump Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Just what I thought. Chicken shit, rightard. Now
> scurry away little boy, and let the adults talk.
>
> src="http://static4.businessinsider.com/image/5809
> 06ebc5240220008b5d77-1200/electoral-college-map-10
> -19-16.png"/>
^^^^^ There ya go everyone. Talks about a sure thing until it's time to put some skin in the game and deflects by proposing shit that he knows no one is going to accept. Why didn't he just challenge the guy to a duel instead? Hilltards are such morons.
Come on Trump Hump, bet your money on Hillary. No one on here with an IQ above 1 is going to do any IRL stuff with you or anyone else. It's legal to bet on the US election in London. Go online and put your money down. Prove how sure you are. But instead, we get nothing but gumflapping and shucking and jiving.
Just as we all knew, you got nothing.
-------------------------------------------------------
> Just what I thought. Chicken shit, rightard. Now
> scurry away little boy, and let the adults talk.
>
> src="http://static4.businessinsider.com/image/5809
> 06ebc5240220008b5d77-1200/electoral-college-map-10
> -19-16.png"/>
^^^^^ There ya go everyone. Talks about a sure thing until it's time to put some skin in the game and deflects by proposing shit that he knows no one is going to accept. Why didn't he just challenge the guy to a duel instead? Hilltards are such morons.
Come on Trump Hump, bet your money on Hillary. No one on here with an IQ above 1 is going to do any IRL stuff with you or anyone else. It's legal to bet on the US election in London. Go online and put your money down. Prove how sure you are. But instead, we get nothing but gumflapping and shucking and jiving.
Just as we all knew, you got nothing.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
WTF are you talking about?
()
Date: October 23, 2016 10:10AM
facts are not your friend Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> If you read the articles, even the professor
> admits this will be the year his predictor will be
> wrong.
Please cut and paste from the article where he admits it's wrong. It's one article, not articles.
-------------------------------------------------------
> If you read the articles, even the professor
> admits this will be the year his predictor will be
> wrong.
Please cut and paste from the article where he admits it's wrong. It's one article, not articles.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
MAGA 123
()
Date: October 23, 2016 10:18AM
Kevin Tampone | ktampone@syracuse.com By Kevin Tampone | ktampone@syracuse.com
Email the author | Follow on Twitter
on October 19, 2016 at 3:22 PM, updated October 19, 2016 at 3:44 PM
5.7k
shares 888 comments
Stony Brook, N.Y. — A SUNY professor continues to project Donald Trump as the likely winner of this year's election and he's critiquing polls that predict the opposite in a new opinion piece.
Helmut Norpoth has been predicting a Trump victory since early this year. His model currently projects a win for the Republican with a certainty of 87 to 99 percent.
Norpoth is a professor at Stony Brook University on Long Island.
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inRead invented by Teads
That flies in the face of just about every other major election forecast out there, which mostly give an edge to Democrat Hillary Clinton, notes the Daily Mail.
Norpoth wrote in The Hill that although the race looks decided, current polling methods are "bunk."
The projections for Clinton are all based on opinion polls, which are flawed because they don't reflect actions, Norpoth wrote. They're about what voters think of Clinton or Trump, but they can't tell us exactly how voters will act on those thoughts.
"It is ingrained in all of us that voting is civic duty," he says. "So nearly all of us say, oh yes, I'll vote, and then many will not follow through."
Instead of opinion polling, Norpoth relies on statistics from candidates' performances in party primaries and patterns in the electoral cycle to forecast results. The model correctly predicted the victor in every presidential election since 1996, according to the Daily Mail.
Running the model on earlier campaigns comes up with the correct outcome for every race since 1912, except the 1960 election.
Norpoth wrote on his site that Trump's victories in early primary states are key predictors of his chances in November. The cycle also favors the GOP after two terms of a Democrat in the White House.
"So hold off on trusting poll-driven proclamations of a Clinton victory just yet," Norpoth wrote in The Hill. "Voters have a way of always getting the last word."
Contact Kevin Tampone anytime: Email | Twitter | Google + | 315-454-2112
Email the author | Follow on Twitter
on October 19, 2016 at 3:22 PM, updated October 19, 2016 at 3:44 PM
5.7k
shares 888 comments
Stony Brook, N.Y. — A SUNY professor continues to project Donald Trump as the likely winner of this year's election and he's critiquing polls that predict the opposite in a new opinion piece.
Helmut Norpoth has been predicting a Trump victory since early this year. His model currently projects a win for the Republican with a certainty of 87 to 99 percent.
Norpoth is a professor at Stony Brook University on Long Island.
ADVERTISING
inRead invented by Teads
That flies in the face of just about every other major election forecast out there, which mostly give an edge to Democrat Hillary Clinton, notes the Daily Mail.
Norpoth wrote in The Hill that although the race looks decided, current polling methods are "bunk."
The projections for Clinton are all based on opinion polls, which are flawed because they don't reflect actions, Norpoth wrote. They're about what voters think of Clinton or Trump, but they can't tell us exactly how voters will act on those thoughts.
"It is ingrained in all of us that voting is civic duty," he says. "So nearly all of us say, oh yes, I'll vote, and then many will not follow through."
Instead of opinion polling, Norpoth relies on statistics from candidates' performances in party primaries and patterns in the electoral cycle to forecast results. The model correctly predicted the victor in every presidential election since 1996, according to the Daily Mail.
Running the model on earlier campaigns comes up with the correct outcome for every race since 1912, except the 1960 election.
Norpoth wrote on his site that Trump's victories in early primary states are key predictors of his chances in November. The cycle also favors the GOP after two terms of a Democrat in the White House.
"So hold off on trusting poll-driven proclamations of a Clinton victory just yet," Norpoth wrote in The Hill. "Voters have a way of always getting the last word."
Contact Kevin Tampone anytime: Email | Twitter | Google + | 315-454-2112
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
PC retards
()
Date: October 23, 2016 10:25AM
Suck it libgaytardz!!
Attachments:
Attachments:
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
Trump Hump
()
Date: October 23, 2016 10:28AM
Follow the money Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Trump Hump Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
>
> > Just what I thought. Chicken shit, rightard.
> Now
> > scurry away little boy, and let the adults
> talk.
> >
> > >
> src="http://static4.businessinsider.com/image/5809
>
> >
> 06ebc5240220008b5d77-1200/electoral-college-map-10
>
> > -19-16.png"/>
>
>
> ^^^^^ There ya go everyone. Talks about a sure
> thing until it's time to put some skin in the game
> and deflects by proposing shit that he knows no
> one is going to accept. Why didn't he just
> challenge the guy to a duel instead? Hilltards
> are such morons.
>
> Come on Trump Hump, bet your money on Hillary. No
> one on here with an IQ above 1 is going to do any
> IRL stuff with you or anyone else. It's legal to
> bet on the US election in London. Go online and
> put your money down. Prove how sure you are. But
> instead, we get nothing but gumflapping and
> shucking and jiving.
>
> Just as we all knew, you got nothing.
Typical Trump logic. Chicken shit backed down and douchebag here calls me the scared one (I'm sure they're one and the same). LOL
Have you seen this?
-------------------------------------------------------
> Trump Hump Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
>
> > Just what I thought. Chicken shit, rightard.
> Now
> > scurry away little boy, and let the adults
> talk.
> >
> > >
> src="http://static4.businessinsider.com/image/5809
>
> >
> 06ebc5240220008b5d77-1200/electoral-college-map-10
>
> > -19-16.png"/>
>
>
> ^^^^^ There ya go everyone. Talks about a sure
> thing until it's time to put some skin in the game
> and deflects by proposing shit that he knows no
> one is going to accept. Why didn't he just
> challenge the guy to a duel instead? Hilltards
> are such morons.
>
> Come on Trump Hump, bet your money on Hillary. No
> one on here with an IQ above 1 is going to do any
> IRL stuff with you or anyone else. It's legal to
> bet on the US election in London. Go online and
> put your money down. Prove how sure you are. But
> instead, we get nothing but gumflapping and
> shucking and jiving.
>
> Just as we all knew, you got nothing.
Typical Trump logic. Chicken shit backed down and douchebag here calls me the scared one (I'm sure they're one and the same). LOL
Have you seen this?
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
Trump rulz
()
Date: October 23, 2016 10:42AM
MAGA MOFOS
Attachments:
Attachments:
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
facts are not your friend
()
Date: October 23, 2016 10:45AM
WTF are you talking about? Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> facts are not your friend Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > If you read the articles, even the professor
> > admits this will be the year his predictor will
> be
> > wrong.
>
>
> Please cut and paste from the article where he
> admits it's wrong. It's one article, not
> articles.
It must have been a live interview then where he showed a lack of confidence this year. The news is definitely pumping him since there's so few sources that are pro-trump.
-------------------------------------------------------
> facts are not your friend Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > If you read the articles, even the professor
> > admits this will be the year his predictor will
> be
> > wrong.
>
>
> Please cut and paste from the article where he
> admits it's wrong. It's one article, not
> articles.
It must have been a live interview then where he showed a lack of confidence this year. The news is definitely pumping him since there's so few sources that are pro-trump.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
PC retards
()
Date: October 23, 2016 10:46AM
Have you seen this?
Attachments:
Attachments:
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
MAGA 123
()
Date: October 23, 2016 11:32AM
Me likey!!
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
@PC Retards
()
Date: October 23, 2016 12:32PM
Most of us vote with our heads, not our dicks. You seem to have confused the two.
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
PC retards
()
Date: October 23, 2016 12:37PM
@PC Retards Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Most of us vote with our heads, not our dicks. You
> seem to have confused the two.
Everybody but Hillary and faggots love healthy vagina.
Attachments:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Most of us vote with our heads, not our dicks. You
> seem to have confused the two.
Everybody but Hillary and faggots love healthy vagina.
Attachments:
Re: SUNY professor who's model has elected every president since 1912 says real clear poll average is bunk and the most accurate polls last time ips and la times are correct.
Posted by:
pc retards
()
Date: October 24, 2016 01:59PM
nice!