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Sabato updates electoral projection for first time based on Trump surge
Posted by:
Larry J. Sabato
()
Date: September 20, 2016 02:52PM
Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley,
Sabato's Crystal Ball September 19th, 2016
And then, everything changed.
Well, not everything, but enough to generate the first major revision in our electoral map, and all of it is in Donald Trump’s direction for now.
Let us make our view perfectly clear: We still believe that Hillary Clinton is more likely than Trump to win the election, and she still has the advantage in the Electoral College. Yet it is equally apparent that she has stumbled badly in recent weeks, fueling Trump’s polling advance. And the Republican nominee has more pathways to 270 electoral votes than he did before.
Electoral College: Trump’s standing improves across the map
Table 1: Crystal Ball Electoral College ratings changes
Clinton’s slide boosts Republican Senate chances
Table 2: Crystal Ball Senate ratings changes
Sabato's Crystal Ball September 19th, 2016
And then, everything changed.
Well, not everything, but enough to generate the first major revision in our electoral map, and all of it is in Donald Trump’s direction for now.
Let us make our view perfectly clear: We still believe that Hillary Clinton is more likely than Trump to win the election, and she still has the advantage in the Electoral College. Yet it is equally apparent that she has stumbled badly in recent weeks, fueling Trump’s polling advance. And the Republican nominee has more pathways to 270 electoral votes than he did before.
Electoral College: Trump’s standing improves across the map
Table 1: Crystal Ball Electoral College ratings changes
Clinton’s slide boosts Republican Senate chances
Table 2: Crystal Ball Senate ratings changes
Re: Sabato updates electoral projection for first time based on Trump surge
Posted by:
Trump-tards!
()
Date: September 20, 2016 03:37PM
Larry J. Sabato Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Let us make our view perfectly clear: We still
> believe that Hillary Clinton is more likely than
> Trump to win the election, and she still has the
> advantage in the Electoral College.
Trump-tards!
LoLz!
-------------------------------------------------------
> Let us make our view perfectly clear: We still
> believe that Hillary Clinton is more likely than
> Trump to win the election, and she still has the
> advantage in the Electoral College.
Trump-tards!
LoLz!
Re: Sabato updates electoral projection for first time based on Trump surge
Posted by:
Re-tards!
()
Date: September 20, 2016 03:39PM
Trump-tards! Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Larry J. Sabato Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Let us make our view perfectly clear: We
> still
> > believe that Hillary Clinton is more likely
> than
> > Trump to win the election, and she still
> has the
> > advantage in the Electoral College.
>
> Trump-tards!
>
> LoLz!
Yet it is equally apparent that she has stumbled badly in recent weeks, fueling Trump’s polling advance. And the Republican nominee has more pathways to 270 electoral votes than he did before.
Re-tards!
LoLz!
-------------------------------------------------------
> Larry J. Sabato Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Let us make our view perfectly clear: We
> still
> > believe that Hillary Clinton is more likely
> than
> > Trump to win the election, and she still
> has the
> > advantage in the Electoral College.
>
> Trump-tards!
>
> LoLz!
Yet it is equally apparent that she has stumbled badly in recent weeks, fueling Trump’s polling advance. And the Republican nominee has more pathways to 270 electoral votes than he did before.
Re-tards!
LoLz!
Re: Sabato updates electoral projection for first time based on Trump surge
Posted by:
Simple Simon sez:
()
Date: September 20, 2016 03:44PM
Re-tards! Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Yet it is equally apparent that she has
> stumbled badly in recent weeks, fueling
> Trump’s polling advance. And the Republican
> nominee has more pathways to 270 electoral
> votes than he did before.
"We still believe that Hillary Clinton is more likely than Trump to win the election."
-------------------------------------------------------
> Yet it is equally apparent that she has
> stumbled badly in recent weeks, fueling
> Trump’s polling advance. And the Republican
> nominee has more pathways to 270 electoral
> votes than he did before.
"We still believe that Hillary Clinton is more likely than Trump to win the election."
Re: Sabato updates electoral projection for first time based on Trump surge
Posted by:
Trending
()
Date: September 20, 2016 03:50PM
Simple Simon sez: Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Re-tards! Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Yet it is equally apparent that she has
> > stumbled badly in recent weeks, fueling
> > Trump’s polling advance. And the Republican
> > nominee has more pathways to 270 electoral
> > votes than he did before.
>
> "We still believe that Hillary Clinton is more
> likely than Trump to win the election."
...Just much less likely that we believed last week.
Re-tards!
LoLz!
-------------------------------------------------------
> Re-tards! Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Yet it is equally apparent that she has
> > stumbled badly in recent weeks, fueling
> > Trump’s polling advance. And the Republican
> > nominee has more pathways to 270 electoral
> > votes than he did before.
>
> "We still believe that Hillary Clinton is more
> likely than Trump to win the election."
...Just much less likely that we believed last week.
Re-tards!
LoLz!
Re: Sabato updates electoral projection for first time based on Trump surge
Posted by:
htCFX
()
Date: September 20, 2016 04:21PM
.
Attachments:
Attachments:
Re: Sabato updates electoral projection for first time based on Trump surge
Posted by:
GpvC9
()
Date: September 20, 2016 04:46PM
By my count even if Trump carries all of the toss ups he still comes up short. He needs to steal at least one more state currently leaning towards Clinton. Virginia may be one of his best shots.