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Welcome to Fairfax Underground, a project site designed to improve communication among residents of Fairfax County, VA. Feel free to post anything Northern Virginia residents would find interesting.
Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race
Posted by:
Mittens Having Kittens
()
Date: November 12, 2012 12:07PM
"Among the more prolific polling firms, the most accurate by this measure was TIPP, which conducted a national tracking poll for Investors’ Business Daily. Relative to other national polls, their results seemed to be Democratic-leaning at the time they were published. However, it turned out that most polling firms underestimated Mr. Obama’s performance, so those that had what had seemed to be Democratic-leaning results were often closest to the final outcome.
Conversely, polls that were Republican-leaning relative to the consensus did especially poorly."
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/#more-37396
Attachments:
Conversely, polls that were Republican-leaning relative to the consensus did especially poorly."
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/#more-37396
Attachments:
Re: Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race
Posted by:
FUNdamental
()
Date: November 12, 2012 12:32PM
More people identified themselves as Democrat this time around than as a Republican.
Three million Republicans didn't sit out this election, millions who once identified themselves as a Republican, this year identified themselves as a Democrat.
Rasmussen was 4.2% off? Wow! They usually only skew around +3% Republican. I guess they felt Romney/Ryan needed an extra push.
Three million Republicans didn't sit out this election, millions who once identified themselves as a Republican, this year identified themselves as a Democrat.
Rasmussen was 4.2% off? Wow! They usually only skew around +3% Republican. I guess they felt Romney/Ryan needed an extra push.
Re: Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race
Posted by:
Faux News Pundits
()
Date: November 12, 2012 12:42PM
FUNdamental Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> More people identified themselves as Democrat this
> time around than as a Republican.
>
> Three million Republicans didn't sit out this
> election, millions who once identified themselves
> as a Republican, this year identified themselves
> as a Democrat.
>
>
> Rasmussen was 4.2% off? Wow! They usually only
> skew around +3% Republican. I guess they felt
> Romney/Ryan needed an extra push.
Rasmussen was on Faux News the day after the election. Lets you know how in touch he is with reality. Maybe he's looking for a job as a talking psychotic head like Palin now that he's proven he's worthless at his day job.
-------------------------------------------------------
> More people identified themselves as Democrat this
> time around than as a Republican.
>
> Three million Republicans didn't sit out this
> election, millions who once identified themselves
> as a Republican, this year identified themselves
> as a Democrat.
>
>
> Rasmussen was 4.2% off? Wow! They usually only
> skew around +3% Republican. I guess they felt
> Romney/Ryan needed an extra push.
Rasmussen was on Faux News the day after the election. Lets you know how in touch he is with reality. Maybe he's looking for a job as a talking psychotic head like Palin now that he's proven he's worthless at his day job.
Re: Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race
Posted by:
HappyDave
()
Date: November 12, 2012 01:33PM
Fuck all polls next time. I'll just go with whatever Nate Silver says.
Re: Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race
Posted by:
George $oro$
()
Date: November 12, 2012 02:10PM
HappyDave Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Fuck all polls next time. I'll just go with
> whatever Nate Silver says.
You'll vote vor Heelary Cleenton like I say.
-------------------------------------------------------
> Fuck all polls next time. I'll just go with
> whatever Nate Silver says.
You'll vote vor Heelary Cleenton like I say.
Re: Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race
Posted by:
Olde Farte, II
()
Date: November 12, 2012 02:17PM
Lets' see if The Me-To media touts Gallup next time around.
They sure fell flat, huh?
http://www.fairfaxunderground.com/forum/read/40/1024112/1024112.html#msg-1024112
http://www.fairfaxunderground.com/forum/read/40/1039889/1040009.html#msg-1040009
They sure fell flat, huh?
http://www.fairfaxunderground.com/forum/read/40/1024112/1024112.html#msg-1024112
http://www.fairfaxunderground.com/forum/read/40/1039889/1040009.html#msg-1040009