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Loss of the House was not combined yesterday with loss of the Senate only because of the nature of the one-third of all Senate seats that were up for election this year. That factor will operate in a different manner in 2020, especially as Republicans face further losses among young voters, minorities, and suburban women with college degrees. Those key demographics are of course all trending away from the GOP, and there are limits to what even the most crooked forms of vote suppression can accomplish.
Old white men Wrote:
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> Loss of the House was not combined yesterday with
> loss of the Senate only because of the nature of
> the one-third of all Senate seats that were up for
> election this year. That factor will operate in a
> different manner in 2020, especially as
> Republicans face further losses among young
> voters, minorities, and suburban women with
> college degrees. Those key demographics are of
> course all trending away from the GOP, and there
> are limits to what even the most crooked forms of
> vote suppression can accomplish.
No, it won't. 2020 is good for the GOP. It's 2022 that gives the dems their best chance of taking back the Senate. Unless the deep south and midwest turn blue between now and 2020, the GOP is in good shape in the Senate.
Things may change slightly over time, but as of now the GOP will have 21 Senate seats to defend in 2020, nine of which are expected to be competitive. The Dems will have 11 seats to defend, two of which are expected to be competitive. This is a very different situation from 2018, and it would be easy to expect Dem gains to result.