http://wtop.com/weather/2015/11/winter-forecast-winter-will-snowier-last/




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NBC4 chief meteorologist Doug Kammerer predicts the D.C. region will receive more snow this year than last winter. He released his winter forecast Monday, Nov. 9, 2015




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Get your shovels ready, because this winter could be snowier than usual for the D.C. region.

“What we’re predicting in the D.C. metro area is above average,” NBC Washington Chief Meteorologist Doug Kammerer tells WTOP about this year’s Storm Team 4 winter forecast.

“Normally we get about 15 inches a year, and we’re going for 20 to 25 inches of snowfall,” he says.

“To the west, and we’re talking about areas like Dulles Airport out toward Frederick, I’m going [with] anywhere between 30 and 50 inches of snow.”


Kammerer thinks Southern Maryland will also get more snow than usual, but probably between 10 to 15 inches total.
But the most snow in the region probably won’t appear until after the start of 2016.

“One thing that has become very clear is that the rest of November and most of December is looking very warm,” says Kammerer.

“I think we’re going to have a warm December, and that means less of a chance of a white Christmas. Sorry about that — a lot of people are already asking me about that.”

Kammerer says the El Nino this year is one of the strongest on record.

“We’ve had two El Ninos of this magnitude before, and that was 1982-1983, and 1997-1998,” he says.

In the winter of ’82-’83, some parts of the area saw more than 2 feet of snow. But in ’97-’98, D.C. received only 1/10 of an inch of snow the entire season.

“So it’s feast or famine with this strong of an El Nino,” Kammerer says. “But there’s something going on, I think, with the El Nino. And it is forecast to weaken as we move toward December, as we move toward January and as we move toward the critical month of late January and into February. That’s where we get most of our snow. I really think that late January and February, we have the potential for some pretty big snowstorms.”

What isn’t clear is whether the late winter storms he’s expecting will hit or miss the capital region, Kammerer says.

“Last year we had 18 inches of snow here in D.C. Those storms phased just enough so that Boston saw over 100 inches of snow. So they got demolished, where we saw just a little bit above-average snowfall. So it’s all about where that phase takes place. Does it happen just south of us? Because we need it to happen right around North Carolina. If it happens there, we get big snows. If it happens in Maryland or Delaware, then that’s when New York or Boston will see those bigger snowfalls.”

Kammerer, who grew up in Herndon, is a big fan of snow. So the potential for some big storms this year makes him smile.

“I’m excited about that for me, I’m excited about that for my kids. My son is 8 and my daughter is 6, and I want to throw them into 2 feet of snow. And I think this year we actually have a chance that we might get that.”

I said before when libtardz were dismissing the thread with the farmer's almanac, liberals should stock up on shorts and flip flops. Make sure to ignore the cold weather and snow. They are nothing more than an illusion.

If he's wrong, he should be executed.

Capital Weather Gang’s winter outlook for D.C.: Stormy and mild, with below normal snow
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/11/10/capital-weather-gang-2015-2016-winter-outlook-for-washington-d-c-stormy-and-mild-with-below-normal-snow/

I'll pull the following stat out of my ass: 21.5" total snow this winter.

That's about as accurate as anything that the Global Climate Change Hoaxers have been doing.

Yet, I guarantee you that if we get no snow, the Hoaxers will cry, "this proves global climate change." Moreover, if we get 3 feet of snow, the Hoaxers will cry, "this proves global climate change."

Finally, if we get 21.5" total snow this winter, the Hoaxers will cry, "this proves global climate change."

The last large El Nino was during the winter of 1997-1998. D.C. got .1 inches of snow. Weather is not predictable more than a week out. Odds are we will have a below average snow total.

El NoNo Wrote:
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> The last large El Nino was during the winter of
> 1997-1998. D.C. got .1 inches of snow. Weather
> is not predictable more than a week out. Odds are
> we will have a below average snow total.

Incorrect.

1982-1983: Very strong El Niño, 39.2 inches of snow

In what was the second most intense El Niño event on record, it was a mild winter in Washington with an average temperature of 40.8 degrees. There were long snowless stretches, but the winter delivered an impressive seasonal snow total of nearly 40 inches thanks to big storms in December and February.

That is why I moved to Florida! :-)

Predicting future snowfall in DC is quite a bit like throwing darts. There are just too many variables in play that have to all line up for DC area to get snow. Need cold air to the north. Need a low from the south that tracks just right up the coast. To far inland, we get rain. To far east we get nothing.

The weather guys are just guessing. There is no science. Unless you consider the farmers Almanac science. By the way, they use a dart board too.

Nicdoot Wrote:
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> That is why I moved to Florida! :-)

That's why the giant flying roaches moved there too!

i might need some better sox
Attachments:

no ICEBALLS - that could hit someones grandmother for Christ's sake!
Attachments:

it's gonna be a big storm - put your horses in the barn before you can't
Attachments:

ABC news 7 news signing off - warning the community to get home before the roads are impassible and keep the candles where you can find them
Attachments:

.
Attachments:

> “Normally we get about 15 inches a year, and we’re going for 20 to 25 inches of snowfall,” he says.

who is "we"

and why would anyone be "going for" snow?

only a pathological liar knows ...

Noooo Schoooool!!!!! Baybay woohoo!! Cha cha cha cha!!! Kah-bling!!!! This is a good thing.

Noooo Schooool!!!! Wrote:
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> Noooo Schoooool!!!!! Baybay woohoo!! Cha cha cha
> cha!!! Kah-bling!!!! This is a good thing.


They will skype in school

ONE WORD: GLOBAL WARMING

Mother Nature is F****. We have over-cooling in certain areas but that makes up for the immense warming of our world. It all works out to dire consequences. We are in deep trouble. Global warming is here and now.

What about all that snow we had in January 2011, I think it was? That was the greatest amount of snow I remember. Did I miss it, or has no one remembered that one in this thread?

Ther's one now... Wrote:
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> Nicdoot Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > That is why I moved to Florida! :-)
>
> That's why the giant flying roaches moved there
> too!


Ive only seen a couple roaches and cats took care of them. ;-)

causeican Wrote:
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> What about all that snow we had in January 2011, I
> think it was? That was the greatest amount of
> snow I remember. Did I miss it, or has no one
> remembered that one in this thread?


Nobody remembers because it didn't happen in 2011.
Total snowfall for Jan. 2011 was only 7.3"
5" of that happening on Jan. 26th. Not really a big deal.

I don't know if I would believe what Doug Kammerer has to say.

on point

Does this mean we won’t have anymore snow after this storm?