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The Campaign as it Now Exists
Posted by: Rod ()
Date: October 31, 2008 09:55PM

Friends, I talked to a knowledgeable Jewish friend today who has always voted Democrat. He said he was voting for "Annie Oakley' in other words his way of saying McCain /Palin. I told him I was discouraged and thought of voting for a third party candidate or not voting at all. He told me something I already knew, every vote for a third party is a vote for Obama. The fact is Obama is very to the left of where most people think they are. He will usher in the end of America as we knew it. We will become he said a forth class nation. If we are driving a boat and it is sinking we don't steer it so that it fills up more with water and put us into a deep cold sea. I recently heard Jim Mars NY Times best selling author say that if Obama wins the United States will very soon cease to exist and become a part of the North American Union. I think just like a helmsman on a boat we do not want to sink sooner so I urge you to join with me even with reservations, in voting for McCain/ Paulin. So as to preserve the United States of America.- Rod Koozmin Apparently there is more hope then we were led to believe. This just in from the Republicans:
The Final Push

The State of the Campaign

If your television is tuned to cable news as frequently as ours are here at campaign headquarters, you have seen the pundits say John McCain and his campaign are done. And, if you've followed this race since the beginning, this is clearly a song you've heard before. I wanted to take some time today to give you some insight on the state of the race as we see it.

An AP poll released this morning revealed a very telling fact: ONE out of every SEVEN voters is undecided. That means, if 130 million voters turn out on Tuesday, 18.5 million of them have yet to make up their mind. With that many votes on the table and the tremendous movement we've seen in this race, I believe we are in a very competitive campaign.

Here's why:

All the major polls have shown a tightening in the race and a significant narrowing of the numbers. In John McCain's typical pattern, he is closing strong and surprising the pundits. We believe this race is winnable, and if the trajectory continues, we will surpass the 270 Electoral votes needed on Election Night.

National Polls: Major polls last week showed John McCain trailing by double-digit margins - but by the middle of this week, we were within the margin of error on four national tracking surveys. In fact, the Gallup national tracking survey showed the race in a virtual tie 2 days this week.


State Polls:

Iowa - Our numbers in Iowa have seen a tremendous surge in the past 10 days. We took Obama's lead from the double digits to a very close race. That is why you see Barack Obama visiting the state in the final days, trying to stem his losses. It is too little, too late. Like many other Midwestern states, Iowa is moving swiftly into McCain's column.

The Southwest - It is no secret that Republican candidates in the Southwest have to focus on winning over enough Latino and Hispanic voters in Nevada, New Mexico and Colorado to carry them to victory. John McCain has overcome challenges Republicans face, and has made up tremendous ground in these states with these voters. For these voters, the choice has become clear, and you have seen a big change in the numbers. John McCain is now winning enough voters to perform within the margin of error - putting these states within reach.

Colorado - Barack Obama tried to outspend our campaign in Colorado during the early weeks of October and finish off our candidate in Colorado. However, after our visit early this week, we saw a tremendous rebound in our poll position, and Colorado is back on the map.

Ohio and Pennsylvania - Everyone knows that vote rich Ohio and Pennsylvania will be key battlegrounds for this election. Between the two: 41 electoral votes and no candidate has gotten to the White House without Ohio. Senator McCain and Governor Palin have been campaigning non-stop in these key battleground states and tonight Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger has pumped up our campaign at a rally in Columbus. Our position in these states is strong and undecided voters continue to have a very favorable impression of our candidate.
Obama campaign faces tremendous structural challenges in the final days of this campaign

Obama has a challenge hitting 50%: Barack Obama has not reached the 50% threshold in almost any the battleground state. He consistently is performing in the 45-48% range. When we look closely at the primary votes, we see a history of a candidate whose Election Day performance is often at or behind his final polling numbers. If this is true, our surge will leave Obama with even or under 50% of the vote on Election Day.


Early Vote: The Obama campaign has promised that their early vote and absentee efforts will change the composition of the electorate. They have sold the press on a story that first time voters will turn out in droves this election cycle. Again, the facts undermine their argument. In our analysis of early voting and absentee votes to date: The composition of the electorate has not changed significantly and most folks who have voted early are high propensity voters who would have voted regardless of the high interest in this campaign.


Expanding the Field: Obama is running out of states if you follow out a traditional model. Today, he expanded his buy into North Dakota, Georgia and Arizona in an attempt to widen the playing field and find his 270 Electoral Votes. This is a very tall order and trying to expand into new states in the final hours shows he doesn't have the votes to win.
The Final Barnstorm

On Monday, we will have a 14 state rally with our candidates crisscrossing the country trying to turn out our voters and sway the final undecided voters. Governor Palin will hit Ohio, Missouri, Iowa, Colorado, Nevada and Alaska in the final day of campaigning, while Senator McCain will travel from Tampa, Florida, to Virginia, then Pennsylvania, Indiana, New Mexico, Nevada and finish the night in Prescott, Arizona. The enthusiasm and excitement we generate on Monday will be the electricity that powers our "Get Out the Vote" efforts on Tuesday.
On the Ground

Our field organization has tremendous energy and is out-performing the Bush campaign at the same time in 2004. This week our field organization crossed a huge threshold and began reaching more than one million voters per day, and by week's end will have contacted more than 5 million voters. Our phone centers are full and our rate of voter contact is significantly out-pacing the Bush campaign in 2004. We have the resources to do the voter contact necessary to support the surge we are seeing in our polling with old fashioned grassroots outreach.
On the Airwaves
In the final days of the campaign, our television presence will be bigger and broader than the Obama campaign's presence. The full Republican effort - the RNC's Independent Expenditure and the McCain campaign will out-buy Barack Obama and the Democrats by just about 10 million dollars.
In short: the McCain campaign is surging in the final 72 hours. Our grassroots campaign is vibrant and communicating to voters in a very powerful way. Our television presence is strong. And, we have a secret ingredient - A candidate who will never quit and who will never stop fighting for you and for your families.

In these final hours, Senator McCain and Governor Palin are counting on you - they are counting on you to knock on doors, to make turnout calls, to contact your friends and neighbors. Get our voters to the polls and help John McCain fight for your and for our country. This is our last mission on behalf of John McCain and I have no doubt I can count on your effort and energy to carry us across the line to victory.

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Re: The Campaign as it Now Exists
Posted by: Voter ()
Date: November 01, 2008 07:18AM

Rod, look around at the current state of this nation after eight years of Republican rule and you will understand why statements the one you made below don't carry much weight with a lot of voters this time around. "The end of America?" "A forth [sic] class nation?" Come on. If McCain manages to eke out a victory, which I think is highly unlikely, I have no doubt his administration would be another Republican disaster. My belief though, is that we are going to get it right this time and slowly start turning this ship around. I'll look forward to revisiting your comments and others like them in a few years.

Rod Wrote:
> party is a vote for Obama. The fact is Obama is
> very to the left of where most people think they
> are. He will usher in the end of America as we
> knew it. We will become he said a forth class
> nation.

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Re: The Campaign as it Now Exists
Posted by: Vince(1) ()
Date: November 01, 2008 09:04AM

No way Rod..the republikans have a failed message

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Re: The Campaign as it Now Exists
Posted by: Rod ()
Date: November 01, 2008 10:50PM

Bush has been bad but Obama will be worse. He is just so far to the left, much further then most people who are for him are. He wants to redistribute the wealth. McCain is the lesser of two evils in my mind. Sometimes you just have to make that kind of choice.

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Re: The Campaign as it Now Exists
Date: November 01, 2008 11:21PM

Rod-

The numbers don't lie. Look at the state-by-state charts on RCP and Pollster. Since the middle of the week, polls have been trending AWAY from John McCain, not toward him. Obama is consistently polling above 50 percent in many polls in key battleground states. The odds of all of those 1-in-7 voters breaking ONLY for McCain are extremely remote.

I have not been one to predict Obama is going to win this election. I thought the MSM and Obama Campaign itself have been overly confident. But sitting here on the Saturday night before the election, having voted absentee today in a district that is redder than red, only to see nothing but African-Americans in line, and looking at the polls OPENING for Obama, not closing, I can only conclude that Obama will win. If the current trends continue, by tomorrow night I might even say it will be by a landslide.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 11/01/2008 11:23PM by WashingToneLocian.

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Re: The Campaign as it Now Exists
Posted by: Bob ()
Date: November 01, 2008 11:21PM

Rod Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Bush has been bad but Obama will be worse. He is
> just so far to the left, much further then most
> people who are for him are. He wants to
> redistribute the wealth. McCain is the lesser of
> two evils in my mind. Sometimes you just have to
> make that kind of choice.

Somehow I suspect you don't really understand what redistribution of wealth really means, other than as a campaign talking point.

Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement, and Modernization Act was also a redistribution of wealth. This bill, signed into law by Bush in 2003 took money from taxpayers and gave it to the elderly.

If you really believe that only democrats redistribute wealth, you are delusional and don't pay attention to anything but talking points, propoganda and misinformation.

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Re: The Campaign as it Now Exists
Date: November 01, 2008 11:28PM

If using a progressive income tax is "socialist," then we have lived in a Socialist country for many decades.

Speaking of a progressive tax, one of its earliest advocates was Adam Smith, who was anything but "a socialist":

The necessaries of life occasion the great expense of the poor. They find it difficult to get food, and the greater part of their little revenue is spent in getting it. The luxuries and vanities of life occasion the principal expense of the rich, and a magnificent house embellishes and sets off to the best advantage all the other luxuries and vanities which they possess. A tax upon house-rents, therefore, would in general fall heaviest upon the rich; and in this sort of inequality there would not, perhaps, be anything very unreasonable. It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion.[16]

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