Re: Week 0
Posted by:
Nova Fan
()
Date: August 29, 2024 01:44PM
Thanks for doing these again this year. It’s my favorite part of this site.
Like last year, I’m going to try my luck in picking against these spreads.
parentof2 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Good morning to all! The first week of real
> football is upon us. I will continue to use the
> same format I have used in previous years. As
> always, I encourage you to try your hand against
> my spreads! Let me know what you think, agree
> with, disagree with, etc. I also will continue to
> include Stone Bridge as my one Loudoun County
> school since they were once an old Liberty
> District team I am familiar with. However, I will
> not be doing spreads for Freedom-Woodbridge this
> year. Also everyone, keep in mind the games this
> week are on Thursday night opposed to Friday
> night. I’ll keep the introduction short, let’s
> get into the games.
>
>
> 1. Annandale @ Marshall (-9)
> - Marshall won last year’s battle by 6 on
> Annandale’s field. Given Marshall has the home
> field advantage this year, I like them at home by
> double digits.
It’s really sad what’s happened to Annandale. And it’s not just football, but other athletic programs as well. Case in point. I attended a JV baseball game at Annandale last year. My grandnephew played for the other team. Annandale lost something like 22-0. It wasn’t fair, and it wasn’t fun, other than seeing my grandnephew of course. Marshall wins and covers.
>
> 2. Centreville (-20) @ T.C. Williams
> - Two teams that are trying to rebound after
> inferior seasons last year. (Wildcats went 2-8,
> Titans went 0-10) Both teams, to my knowledge, are
> still pretty young but I like Centreville by at
> least 3 scores in this one.
I think Tcw is in a different category of bad than Centreville. Their 0-10 season was a big surprise. You know it’s bad when you can’t even beat Woodson. Centreville wins and covers.
>
> 3. Edison @ Washington-Lee (-10)
> - Edison was very senior heavy last year, so I’m
> expecting a bit of a fall off for the guys on
> Franconia Road. As for the Generals, the question
> is can they keep the momentum from last year’s
> 9-2 team going into this year? Time will tell.
I’ll take WL to win and cover.
>
> 4. Fairfax (-35) @ Wakefield
> - 21 consecutive losses for Wakefield coming into
> this game, look for Fairfax to roll.
Six years ago, Fairfax would have been the underdog. It’s amazing how much things have changed. Fairfax wins and covers. Note: My policy is no pick if the spread is greater than 35. I’ll pick with a 35 point spread.
>
> 5. Falls Church @ Chantilly (-35)
> - New coach for the Jaguars, I am unsure how much
> of a difference it will make. Remember. they went
> 1-9 last year with their only win coming by a 2-0
> victory over Stuart. They scored a grand total of
> 8 points in 10 games last year. Chantilly looks
> better than they did last year and are looking to
> finish the year above .500.
The spread is big, but Falls Church is bad. Chantilly wins and covers.
>
> 6. George Mason @ McLean (-28)
> - McLean is looking to build on their 8-3 finish
> from last year. In my mind, the Liberty District
> is between McLean, W&L, and Yorktown. Lets how the
> Highlanders look throughout the year, but look for
> them to blow past the Mustangs this week.
McLean wins and covers
>
> 7. Hayfield (-24) @ West Springfield
> - Darryl Overton makes his coaching debut for the
> Hawks. Hayfield is very athletic and very fast.
> But, make no mistake about it, the Spartans are no
> slouch. This is a great Week 1 test to see where
> both teams currently stand.
I’m not a fan of what’s happening at Hayfield, so my policy will be no picks in games involving them.
>
> 8. Herndon (-35) @ Stuart
> - I think Herndon will take a step down compared
> to last year’s success. With that being said, I
> don’t think they will be bad and they have a
> relatively easy schedule. This one may very well
> be over by halftime.
This spread feels too big. Herndon wins, doesn’t cover
>
> 9. Lake Braddock (-24) @ Colgan
> - I like this year’s Bruin squad, they have tons
> of talent all over the field. The Tyrone Jackson
> (QB) to Kai Austin (WR) connection is going to be
> fun to watch all year. I’m curious how the
> Bruins will look on defense, but it’s my
> understanding they return a lot of starters from
> last year’s state semi final squad.
So you’re saying we can expect loudmouth Bruins fans to make their presence known? Yuck! But I agree that they’ll be good. Braddock wins and covers.
>
> 10. Mount Vernon @ West Potomac (-6)
> - A truly classic rivalry game in this one. I’m
> curious to see how both teams look. If you
> remember, Mount Vernon was up big in this one
> before the Wolverines stormed back to win by 3. I
> have heard the Majors look good, but I am unsure
> about West Potomac. Regardless, this should be a
> fun game.
I’ll take a Patriot team over a National team (unless that Patriot team has a “W” in their name). West Po wins and covers.
>
> 11. Oakton @ Langley (-21)
> - A little bit conservative on the spread in this
> one as Langley will likely be playing inspired
> football all year given the situation with their
> head coach. It looks like Langley is running the
> double wing offense, I watched the first play of
> their first scrimmage and it was a 70ish yard TD
> run. As for Oakton, expect another long year for
> the Cougars.
Langley wins and covers.
>
> 12. Park View @ Lee (-5)
> - This will be another fun and competitive game if
> you are a fan of lower tier football. The Lancers
> went on the road last year and beat Park View and
> with that given, give me the Lancers at home.
Lee is a FAVORITE??? I don’t know what to say. But I guess I’ll take Lee to win and cover.
>
> 13. Patriot @ Westfield (-3)
> - Co-Game of the week. The debut of Scott Vossler
> at Westfield. I am curious to see which offense
> they will be running. Patriot is building
> themselves into a very solid program. This one has
> potential for a lot of fireworks, so buckle up.
> I’m going with the Fairfax team against the
> Prince William team.
With Vossler as coach, take the “under.” Westfield wins and covers.
>
> 14. South County (-24) @ Robinson
> - In my mind, the Patriot District is between
> South County and Lake Braddock. The Stallions
> bring back TE/DE Hunter Malecki who is ODU bound,
> amongst others. The Stallions are a formidable
> program, which is what the Rams used to be.
> Robinson also has a grueling schedule. Will they
> finish better than they did last year? (3-7)
So Co wins and covers.
>
> 15. South Lakes (-20) @ Osbourn
> - I doubt the Seahawks will have the same magical
> year they had last year, but that’s not to say
> that they won’t be a threat. They still should
> start the year 4-0 before Herndon takes the short
> drive to Reston. I like South Lakes by a decent
> margin in this one.
I believe Osborn is one of the bottom feeding teams in PWC. South lakes wins and covers.
>
> 16. Stone Bridge (-3) @ Madison
> - Game of the week. Kedric Golston’s first game
> at the helm in Ashburn and Stone Bridge’s first
> game ever without a guy named Mickey Thompson
> standing on the sidelines. I will give Golston
> credit, it appears none of the Stone Bridge
> players left when Mickey retired. Chase Geter and
> 4 star Virginia tech commit Christian Evans will
> be leading the defense. Stone Bridge just has a
> grueling schedule for the 2nd year in a row. Now
> as for Madison, you can expect much of the same
> from them. They are loaded and Coastal Carolina
> commit do-it-all Dominic Knicely will be their
> feature guy. This is going to be a great game,
> I’m looking forward to watching.
Madison wins and covers.
>
> 17. Yorktown (-21) @ Woodson
> - Eric Henderson has to be on the hot seat you
> would think if Woodson wins less than 3 games for
> the 5th straight year. I think Yorktown will win
> by 5 touchdowns, but they only won by 1 touchdown
> last year so who knows? I like Drew Morgan
> (Yorktown QB) and I have Yorktown as my favorites
> in the Liberty District
Ahhh, Woodson. For those not following, it’s no longer “WT” Woodson, but it’s now “CG” Woodson. But it’s still Woodson, a team that exists to give TCW a chance to get at least one win. Yorktown is probably the class of Arlington football. Yorktown wins and covers.