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Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Cumbut Veteran ()
Date: July 12, 2020 12:29AM

President Donald Trump has a 9 per cent chance of winning the November 2020 election, according to a political science professor who has correctly predicted five out of six elections since 1996.

“The Primary Model gives Trump a 9 percent chance of winning in November,” Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth told Mediaite on Tuesday.

The professor also said the model, which predicted Mr Trump’s election in 2016, worked partially by discounting opinion surveys.

“Polls and poll-based forecasts all handed Hillary Clinton a certain victory,” he said. (SOUND FAMILIAR?)

However in Mr Norpoth’s model, not only will the president not be re-elected, but he will lose his margin in the electoral college from 304 electoral votes in 2016 to 62 in 2020.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Local C ()
Date: July 12, 2020 10:08AM

Wow that's it?

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Actually its 91% ()
Date: July 12, 2020 11:15AM

The actual news story stated 91% chance of a second term for Trump.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Yes. ()
Date: July 12, 2020 11:17AM

Where did I hear this before?

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Cumbut Veteran ()
Date: July 12, 2020 10:51PM

Actually its 91% Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> The actual news story stated 91% chance of a
> second term for Trump.


9%

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Local C ()
Date: July 14, 2020 02:20AM

Cumbut Veteran Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Actually its 91% Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > The actual news story stated 91% chance of a
> > second term for Trump.
>
>
> 9%

Wow that's it?

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: mcLovin ()
Date: July 14, 2020 08:15AM

the most corrupt president in history.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: letsvotenow ()
Date: July 14, 2020 04:33PM

why can't we vote now why do we have to wait til Nov?

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Trump 2020 ()
Date: July 15, 2020 12:17AM

Its gonna be Trump in 2020 because people are sick of the left bullshit. Every statue pulled down is another bunch of votes for Trump. Every time Biden stumbles through a speech it is a bunch more votes for Trump. Like the real news article said 91% chance of Trump for 2020.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: TRUMP MAGA 2020 ()
Date: July 15, 2020 12:57AM

,
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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: George Floydddd ()
Date: July 15, 2020 07:08AM

George Floyd has been fentanyl free for almost 2 months!

Good job Georgie, you porch monkey!

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: letsvotenow ()
Date: July 15, 2020 03:11PM

I'm ready to vote now.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: OP is truthful ()
Date: July 15, 2020 03:11PM

He is a cumbutt sort of guy, so no wonder he posts his degenerate hopes.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Jim Rockford ()
Date: July 15, 2020 03:24PM

What were Hillary's chances?

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Actually its 91% ()
Date: July 16, 2020 11:57AM

Asshat for president.
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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: niiiiiiiiiceee ()
Date: July 16, 2020 12:02PM

9% this time? It's going to be a real landslide, it was only 1.6% last time.

CwrD0QoXAAE2ryH.jpg

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: fdhdafh ()
Date: July 16, 2020 08:45PM

let's just stop all the BS and vote now.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Trunpz is a goner ()
Date: July 16, 2020 10:59PM

Trunpz is gone.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: hahaulose ()
Date: July 16, 2020 11:35PM

He is the best the Dematards have, lol!!!
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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: hahaulose ()
Date: July 17, 2020 09:12AM

?
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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: hahaulose ()
Date: July 20, 2020 10:38AM

fuck Trump

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: TRUMP MAGA ()
Date: July 20, 2020 04:20PM

we gotta monster in the WH.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Actually its 91% ()
Date: July 21, 2020 08:02AM

hes gotta go enough is enough.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Vote Red ()
Date: July 21, 2020 08:13AM

Vote Republican and bring a friend! We need to fix these lawless cities and the drama of the election is preventing that from occurring.

If Joe wins we're all screwed! huge tax increases, mortgages at 8-9-10%+, we'll be sucking the teet of China and be a much weaker nation.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Never learn ()
Date: July 21, 2020 07:39PM

Trump 2020 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Its gonna be Trump in 2020 because people are sick
> of the left bullshit. Every statue pulled down is
> another bunch of votes for Trump. Every time Biden
> stumbles through a speech it is a bunch more votes
> for Trump. Like the real news article said 91%
> chance of Trump for 2020.


You dummies never learn. You’re in the minority, dummy. Most Americans want those statues down. Your dumbfuck 30 percent base isn’t America. Trump will lose big. Hillary was never leading by this much. Trump is getting crushes. Btw, the funny thing is you talk about Biden stumbling his speech. Trump can’t read and has no vocabulary, like his base

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: cargo door ()
Date: July 22, 2020 08:47PM

Cumbut Veteran Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> President Donald Trump has a 9 per cent chance of
> winning the November 2020 election, according to a
> political science professor who has correctly
> predicted five out of six elections since 1996.
>
> “The Primary Model gives Trump a 9 percent
> chance of winning in November,” Stony Brook
> professor Helmut Norpoth told Mediaite on
> Tuesday.
>
> The professor also said the model, which predicted
> Mr Trump’s election in 2016, worked partially by
> discounting opinion surveys.
>
> “Polls and poll-based forecasts all handed
> Hillary Clinton a certain victory,” he said.
> (SOUND FAMILIAR?)
>
> However in Mr Norpoth’s model, not only will the
> president not be re-elected, but he will lose his
> margin in the electoral college from 304 electoral
> votes in 2016 to 62 in 2020.

Trump has a chance. We will see.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: 90.8 ()
Date: July 26, 2020 04:32PM

Jim Rockford Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> What were Hillary's chances?

90.8%

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: The American People ()
Date: July 26, 2020 07:10PM

Cared less about statues other then historians and people studying the civil war

Until you got to be about 16 which was only 3 years ago freak

>Most Americans want those statues down

No, they did not care which is why they stood for over 100 years , you did and the other freaks over a nothing issue attacking dead men

Racists =Ignorant haters

Pull down statue freaks = ignorant chickenshit communist haters far worse

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: 90.8% ()
Date: July 26, 2020 07:11PM

Not by the predictor who is always right retard

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: 90.8% ()
Date: July 26, 2020 07:13PM

That was your own fake news and you sucked it right down Democrats

Im voting for JOE .. LOLZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: 90.8% ()
Date: August 02, 2020 10:47AM

.
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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: niiiiiiiiiceee ()
Date: August 02, 2020 03:15PM

lets vote now why wait?

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: TRUMP MAGA 2020 ()
Date: August 05, 2020 09:07AM

.
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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: niiiiiiiiiceee ()
Date: August 05, 2020 10:19AM

^^ speaking the truth.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Actually its 91% ()
Date: August 05, 2020 01:14PM

one of the dumbest president ever.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Never left and never vote dem ()
Date: August 05, 2020 03:14PM

fake news.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Try loving Americans first ! ()
Date: August 05, 2020 05:06PM

Never left and never vote dem Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> fake news.


Voting blue because I love America

Support trump or support Americans
You can't do both

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Liars And Traitors ()
Date: August 05, 2020 06:26PM

No proof that Trumps racist it's the way the nazis work tell a lie enough and the leeches and low info welfare addicts will believe it but no one with a brain will

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Yo! Semite! ()
Date: August 06, 2020 02:05AM

Yo! Semite!

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Big difference ()
Date: August 06, 2020 06:45AM

niiiiiiiiiceee Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> 9% this time? It's going to be a real landslide,
> it was only 1.6% last time.
>
> src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CwrD0QoXAAE2ryH.j
> pg"/>


You dumb shit. The big difference about last time and this time is the country hadn’t seen trump as president yet. Now, we have and his record isn’t good. He’ll lose big. The funniest part is you dummies that supported him don’t realize you’re the ones he broke promises too. How’s that Mexico paying for wall thing going? I thought he was getting rid of Obamacare. You’re the ones that should be pissed. I’m thrilled he hasn’t done shit that he promised

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Big difference ()
Date: August 06, 2020 11:22AM

TRUMP ain't going no where he is president for life.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Liars And Traitors ()
Date: August 06, 2020 07:28PM

.
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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Combat Vett ()
Date: August 08, 2020 12:32PM

TRUMP will never be defeated.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Actually its 91% ()
Date: August 09, 2020 11:26AM


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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Never left and never vote dem ()
Date: August 10, 2020 09:54AM

trump will win the election

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: 90.8% ()
Date: August 10, 2020 01:46PM

the most corrupt president in history.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Never left and never vote dem ()
Date: August 11, 2020 09:28AM

TRUMP ain't going nowhere he is president for life.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Actually its 91% ()
Date: August 11, 2020 04:53PM

Trunpz is gone.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Kamalala's Jewish husband ()
Date: August 11, 2020 05:01PM

Trump supporters are antisemites. He is a loose cannon who threatens to withdrawal from Syria. Think of the Kurds!

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Combat Vett ()
Date: August 11, 2020 06:49PM

the most corrupt president in history.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Yupp!! ()
Date: August 11, 2020 11:22PM

Yupp!!
.
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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Deal With It ()
Date: August 12, 2020 01:07PM

TRUMP is president for life just like that Putin guy in Russia if you don't like it get the fuck out of here.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: fungolio ()
Date: August 12, 2020 01:58PM

That's what Hillary said! Haha, can't wait to see all the liberal snowflakes crying on election day. Again.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Yupp!! ()
Date: August 12, 2020 11:43PM

Yupp!!
.
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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: TRUMP MAGA 2020 ()
Date: August 14, 2020 11:11AM

let's just stop all the BS and vote now.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: 42-46 Today In Favor Of JOE ()
Date: August 14, 2020 02:58PM

Of course the polls are BS and lots of Democrats don't vote but talk big especially in cities like Richmond Lynchburg Norfolk Portsmouth Hampton LOL! An all over the USA

Republicans stand in the rain for hours to vote! I do and I will ! \

DO YOUR Part VOTE DEMOCRATS OUT!

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Never left and never vote dem ()
Date: August 16, 2020 08:57PM

one trump down one to go lol.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: TRUMP MAGA 2020 ()
Date: August 18, 2020 11:44PM

fake news.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: cnep9 ()
Date: August 19, 2020 10:29AM

Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie Bernie


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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Kamalala's Jewish husband ()
Date: August 27, 2020 04:44PM

TRUMP is president for life just like that Putin guy in Russia if you don't like it get the fuck out of here.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Never left and never vote dem ()
Date: August 28, 2020 02:48AM

the most corrupt president in history.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: letsvotenow ()
Date: August 29, 2020 05:43PM

why can't we vote now why do we have to wait til Nov it's all set ready to go?

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: niiiiiiiiiceee ()
Date: August 30, 2020 12:47AM

fuck Trump.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Combat Vett ()
Date: August 30, 2020 11:10AM

terms is gonna be the president again

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: chpey ()
Date: August 30, 2020 08:19PM


















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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: trunp2020 ()
Date: August 31, 2020 11:29PM

trunp for life

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Never left and never vote dem ()
Date: September 01, 2020 10:30AM

fuck trunp

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Dems are evil ()
Date: September 01, 2020 10:33AM

Vote Red and bring two friends!

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Dems are evil ()
Date: September 01, 2020 10:39PM

fuck Red and trunp

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Dems are evil ()
Date: September 02, 2020 07:35AM

Trunpz is gone.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Dems are evil ()
Date: September 02, 2020 04:20PM

the most corrupt president in history.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: trunpforlife ()
Date: September 02, 2020 09:02PM

Where did I hear this before?

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Dems are evil ()
Date: September 05, 2020 12:45AM

trunp is a bitch

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Trump wins in 2020 ()
Date: September 05, 2020 06:06AM

Dementia Joe loses badly in November libtards!

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Coonman ()
Date: September 05, 2020 11:22AM

I loves me some snowflake DEMS.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Coonman ()
Date: September 05, 2020 12:05PM

I love me some snowflake DEMS to run a train on me. I have an itchy rectum.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Combat Vett ()
Date: September 05, 2020 08:52PM

Biden lied. People died.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Trunp Is A Traitor! ()
Date: September 05, 2020 09:05PM

^^ You are stupid.

How about some hot steaming shit from truntx truth hole?

.
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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Big difference ()
Date: September 07, 2020 10:36AM

fuck trunp

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Never left and never vote dem ()
Date: September 08, 2020 09:26PM

.
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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Coonman ()
Date: September 13, 2020 09:54AM

.
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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Combat Vett ()
Date: September 13, 2020 11:24AM

fuck turnp

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Never left and never vote dem ()
Date: September 13, 2020 11:30PM

why can't we vote now why do we have to wait til Nov?

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: LOLZZZZ Sharp Knives In Drawers ()
Date: September 14, 2020 12:34AM

> Combat Vett ()fuck turnp

Man if you were a combat vet its a wonder you did not get greased in nam standing up break dancing when they said get down , at first I thought you hated turnips and had a vette , corvette that is

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Black Caullk ()
Date: September 15, 2020 09:27AM

we need to get mother fucker trunp outta the WH.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Dems are evil ()
Date: September 16, 2020 09:23PM

.
Attachments:
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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: trunpforlife ()
Date: September 17, 2020 12:18AM

.
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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: trunpforlife ()
Date: September 17, 2020 09:10AM

Its gonna be Trump in 2020 because people are sick of the left bullshit. Every statue pulled down is another bunch of votes for Trump. Every time Biden stumbles through a speech it is a bunch more votes for Trump. Like the real news article said 91% chance of Trump for 2020.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Coonman ()
Date: September 18, 2020 12:04AM

Wow that's it?

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Yep its gonna be Trump in 2020 ()
Date: September 18, 2020 11:13AM

Vote Red to get ahead. Only the ignorant vote blue so don't let that be you.

TRUMP FOR THE WIN 2020 and beyond. The next 3 term president.

This election will be a big FU to socialists and other low life libtards with their hands out looking for more free shit paid for by hard working Americans. That is why Trump will win. We are sick of the lying corrupt demoturds and their ignorant broke ass low life followers that can't make it in America because they are either too lazy or too stupid to embrace the opportunities and freedoms America offers to get ahead.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: loud silence ()
Date: September 21, 2020 11:02AM

Biden lied. People died.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Actually its 91% ()
Date: September 22, 2020 07:42AM

fuck trunp

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Actually its 91% ()
Date: September 22, 2020 07:42AM

fuck trunp

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Actually its 91% ()
Date: September 22, 2020 07:42AM

fuck trunp

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Dems are evil ()
Date: September 23, 2020 12:29PM

Trump can't defeat Biden because of the plans Biden has to save this country, and restore the Obama legacy.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Dems are evil ()
Date: September 23, 2020 12:42PM

.

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Dems are evil ()
Date: September 23, 2020 12:42PM

,

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Dems are evil ()
Date: September 23, 2020 12:43PM

'

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Dems are evil ()
Date: September 23, 2020 12:44PM

;

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Re: Trump has 9% chance of winning second term
Posted by: Dems are evil ()
Date: September 23, 2020 12:45PM

.

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