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President Donald Trump has a 9 per cent chance of winning the November 2020 election, according to a political science professor who has correctly predicted five out of six elections since 1996.
“The Primary Model gives Trump a 9 percent chance of winning in November,” Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth told Mediaite on Tuesday.
The professor also said the model, which predicted Mr Trump’s election in 2016, worked partially by discounting opinion surveys.
“Polls and poll-based forecasts all handed Hillary Clinton a certain victory,” he said. (SOUND FAMILIAR?)
However in Mr Norpoth’s model, not only will the president not be re-elected, but he will lose his margin in the electoral college from 304 electoral votes in 2016 to 62 in 2020.
Actually its 91% Wrote:
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> The actual news story stated 91% chance of a
> second term for Trump.
Cumbut Veteran Wrote:
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> Actually its 91% Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > The actual news story stated 91% chance of a
> > second term for Trump.
>
>
> 9%
Its gonna be Trump in 2020 because people are sick of the left bullshit. Every statue pulled down is another bunch of votes for Trump. Every time Biden stumbles through a speech it is a bunch more votes for Trump. Like the real news article said 91% chance of Trump for 2020.
Trump 2020 Wrote:
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> Its gonna be Trump in 2020 because people are sick
> of the left bullshit. Every statue pulled down is
> another bunch of votes for Trump. Every time Biden
> stumbles through a speech it is a bunch more votes
> for Trump. Like the real news article said 91%
> chance of Trump for 2020.
You dummies never learn. You’re in the minority, dummy. Most Americans want those statues down. Your dumbfuck 30 percent base isn’t America. Trump will lose big. Hillary was never leading by this much. Trump is getting crushes. Btw, the funny thing is you talk about Biden stumbling his speech. Trump can’t read and has no vocabulary, like his base
Cumbut Veteran Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> President Donald Trump has a 9 per cent chance of
> winning the November 2020 election, according to a
> political science professor who has correctly
> predicted five out of six elections since 1996.
>
> “The Primary Model gives Trump a 9 percent
> chance of winning in November,” Stony Brook
> professor Helmut Norpoth told Mediaite on
> Tuesday.
>
> The professor also said the model, which predicted
> Mr Trump’s election in 2016, worked partially by
> discounting opinion surveys.
>
> “Polls and poll-based forecasts all handed
> Hillary Clinton a certain victory,” he said.
> (SOUND FAMILIAR?)
>
> However in Mr Norpoth’s model, not only will the
> president not be re-elected, but he will lose his
> margin in the electoral college from 304 electoral
> votes in 2016 to 62 in 2020.
That was your own fake news and you sucked it right down Democrats
Im voting for JOE .. LOLZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ
No proof that Trumps racist it's the way the nazis work tell a lie enough and the leeches and low info welfare addicts will believe it but no one with a brain will
niiiiiiiiiceee Wrote:
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> 9% this time? It's going to be a real landslide,
> it was only 1.6% last time.
>
> src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CwrD0QoXAAE2ryH.j
> pg"/>
You dumb shit. The big difference about last time and this time is the country hadn’t seen trump as president yet. Now, we have and his record isn’t good. He’ll lose big. The funniest part is you dummies that supported him don’t realize you’re the ones he broke promises too. How’s that Mexico paying for wall thing going? I thought he was getting rid of Obamacare. You’re the ones that should be pissed. I’m thrilled he hasn’t done shit that he promised
Of course the polls are BS and lots of Democrats don't vote but talk big especially in cities like Richmond Lynchburg Norfolk Portsmouth Hampton LOL! An all over the USA
Republicans stand in the rain for hours to vote! I do and I will ! \
Man if you were a combat vet its a wonder you did not get greased in nam standing up break dancing when they said get down , at first I thought you hated turnips and had a vette , corvette that is
Its gonna be Trump in 2020 because people are sick of the left bullshit. Every statue pulled down is another bunch of votes for Trump. Every time Biden stumbles through a speech it is a bunch more votes for Trump. Like the real news article said 91% chance of Trump for 2020.
Vote Red to get ahead. Only the ignorant vote blue so don't let that be you.
TRUMP FOR THE WIN 2020 and beyond. The next 3 term president.
This election will be a big FU to socialists and other low life libtards with their hands out looking for more free shit paid for by hard working Americans. That is why Trump will win. We are sick of the lying corrupt demoturds and their ignorant broke ass low life followers that can't make it in America because they are either too lazy or too stupid to embrace the opportunities and freedoms America offers to get ahead.