Re: High School Football 2022
Date: September 25, 2022 01:45PM
Here's my weekly review of how I did picking against your spreads. Thank you again for posting these week in and week out. Also, I think you deserve a shout out on this week's set of spreads. I think many of the games were inherently hard to handicap. Yet, your spreads hit the mark, or pretty close to it in many cases. Well-done!
parentof2 - week 4 results Wrote:
> 1. Annandale @ Lake Braddock (-45)
> - The Bruins did indeed roll on Homecoming,
> winning 62-7. Side note: I really like the yellow
> jerseys they wore Friday night. LB was up 56-0 at
As per my policy, no pick where the spread is >35 points. Having said that, this spread was obviously not high enough, but I frankly don't know how you can go much higher on a spread.
> 2. Chantilly (-20) @ Marshall
> - Chantilly won and covered 42-19, spoiling the
> Statesmen Homecoming.
Correctly picked Chantilly to both win and cover. This spread is an example of what I was talking about above.
> 3. Edison @ Robinson (-30)
> - Robinson won 48-19, failing to cover by 1 point.
> The Rams were up 30-6 at halftime. Their defense
> is going to be a issue come Patriot District play.
> Also, I don't think the Eagles are as bad as we
Correctly picked Robo to win. That was the easy part. However, I took them to cover, and I missed that by one point. When I first saw this, I wondered why you didn't assign >35 to this, but you obviously had a hunch that Edison could hang better with Robo, and the result shows it. Edison is not a powerhouse by any means, but they do seem to be punching above their weight this season. Maybe they'll get a breakthrough win later this season?
> 4. Falls Church @ Fairfax (-42)
> - Fairfax rolled, 67-0.
No pick here.
> 5. Hayfield @ West Springfield (-17)
> - West Springfield won and covered, 46-9. On the
> opening kickoff, Hayfield's return man caught it
> and attempted to hand it off to another guy who
> couldn't handle it and WS got a safety. They then
> returned the ensuing free kick for a TD. It was
> 32-0 Spartans after the 1st.
I correctly took West Springfield to win, but it seems that I either underestimated West Springfield (likely due to their close win last week aginst W-L) overestimated Hayfield, which lead me to think that West Springfield wouldn't cover, which I got wrong. When you think you have the pecking order figured out, there comes a surprising result, though this one wasn't the most surprising this week.
> 6.Langley @ Madison (-10)
> - Madison won and covered, 28-3. Score was 21-3
> Warhawks at the half and they seemed content with
> playing conservative and going home with a win.
Correctly picked Madison to win and to cover.
> 7. Lee @ Woodson (-21)
> - Woodson won and covered, 49-14. Kudos to Lee for
> scoring twice. Gotta feel bad for those kids. I
> counted 21 people in the Lee bleachers...
Correctly picked Woodson to both win and to cover. I do feel bad for Lee, but I think Edison has similar issues as Lee, but they seem to be doing more with their "less" than Lee does. As four Woodson, congratulations on capping off your winning streak. The question for Woodson is whether they are prepared for their impending losing streak. FWIW, I was predicting it would be six games, but I'm waivering a bit on that. It might be only five.
> 8.South County (-42) @ Stuart
> - South County rolled JEB, 61-6.
No pick against a >35 point spread.
> 9. South Lakes (-28) @ McLean
> - SL did indeed win big, 51-14.
Correctly picked South Lakes to win and to cover.
> 10. Stone Bridge (-35) @ Riverside
> - Game was on Thursday. SB won 59-7. I noticed
> that Zeke Wimbush is playing QB for the Bulldogs,
> I guess their QB is still hurt. Anyone have any
> details? Reminds of when Hayfield lost their QB
> years ago and brought in Brian Cobbs to play QB,
> he did a great job, Wimbush is as well.
Correctly picked Stone Bridge to win and to cover.
> 11. T.C. Williams (-21) @ Herndon
> - Herndon upset the Titans, 21-8. Who can honestly
> say they saw that one coming?
To answer your question, ABSOLUTELY NO ONE can HONESTLY say they saw this coming. If they said they did, they're lying. I took TCW to win and cover, so obviously I got both ends of this pick wrong. This is the kind of game that will have ripple effects beyond just this week. Herndon has been quietly building to this, and I think they'll avoid the cellar of Liberty. TCW may not be as good as we thought, and I think we may need to put them on upset alert for their season-ending game against Woodson (which will allow Woodson to limit their losing streak to five).
> 12. Washington-Lee (-21) @ Wakefield
> - WL blanked Wakefield, 39-0.
Correctly picked W-L to win and to cover. North Arlington Football is performing very well, better than expected, this season. South Arlington? Eh, not so much.
> 13. West Potomac (-7) @ Mount Vernon
> - Nailed this one! West Potomac won, 35-28.
Correctly picked West Po to win and cover (barely got the cover). I saw parts of the broadcast of this game, and it looked like a fantastic game.
> 14. Westfield (-7) @ Yorktown
> - Great game. Westfield won 20-17 in OT. 100%
> deserving of Game of the Week.
Correctly picked Westfield to win, but I also thought they would cover, so I got that part of the pick wrong. Yorktown led at half in this game, and they have to feel bad about losing, though congratulations to Westfield for the comeback. Definitely game of the week, along with West Po and Mount Vernon.